Vitoria BA vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Vitoria BA

W W D W W

1st place in Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division

1-1

23/03/2025 15:00

Bahia

W W D W W

3rd place in Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division

Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vitoria BA vs Bahia on 23 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vitoria BA vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Vitoria BA are currently 1st with 21 points after 9 matches.
Bahia sit 3rd with 18 points from 9 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vitoria BA to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Vitoria BA have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-03-23

Vitoria BA vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Vitoria BA

Bahia

2025-03-23 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Vitoria BA	21	9	6	3	0	18	4	14
02 EC Jacuipense	19	9	5	4	0	14	4	10
03 Bahia	18	9	5	3	1	15	3	12
04 Alagoinhas Atletico BA	13	9	3	4	2	9	6	3
05 Porto BA	11	9	3	2	4	9	13	-4
06 Juazeirense	10	9	3	1	5	8	12	-4
07 Barcelona BA	9	9	1	6	2	7	8	-1
08 Jequie BA	9	9	2	3	4	7	10	-3
09 Jacobina EC	3	8	0	3	5	4	16	-12
10 Colo Colo BA	3	8	0	3	5	6	21	-15

Head To Head

01/02/2025 15:00

Bahia

0 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

11/08/2024 15:00

Bahia

2 - 0

Vitoria BA

BRA D1

21/04/2024 15:00

Vitoria BA

2 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

07/04/2024 15:00

Bahia

1 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA CBD

31/03/2024 15:00

Vitoria BA

3 - 2

Bahia

BRA CBD

20/03/2024 20:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA CNF

Vitoria BA

17%

Draw

50%

Bahia

33%

Vitoria BA Last 6 matches

12/03/2025 18:00

Vitoria BA 0 - 2 Nautico (PE) Copa do Brasil

08/03/2025 17:00

Vitoria BA 3 - 0 Alagoinhas Atletico BA BRA CBD

05/03/2025 20:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 1 Altos/PI BRA CNF

01/03/2025 17:30

Alagoinhas Atletico BA 0 - 4 Vitoria BA BRA CBD

25/02/2025 18:00

Maranhao 0 - 1 Vitoria BA Copa do Brasil

22/02/2025 17:30

Alagoinhas Atletico BA 0 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA CBD

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Bahia

13/03/2025 20:30

Bahia 1 - 0 Boston River CON CLA

09/03/2025 17:00

EC Jacuipense 0 - 5 Bahia BRA CBD

06/03/2025 20:30

Boston River 0 - 0 Bahia CON CLA

01/03/2025 15:00

Bahia 1 - 2 EC Jacuipense BRA CBD

25/02/2025 20:30

Bahia 3 - 0 The Strongest CON CLA

22/02/2025 17:30

Bahia 2 - 0 Juazeirense BRA CBD

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Campeonato Baia...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

202

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

144 (48%)156 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

154 (51%)146 (49%)

Vitoria BA

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vitoria BA

Bahia

Shots

Vitoria BA

Total shots

11.82 avg / game

Blocked

409 total

Avg. 3.10

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Vitoria BA Pass Bahia

Total passes

57898

Avg. 347 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vitoria BA

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

114

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.72

1417

Corners

1537

5.12

5.82

1745

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

0.77

230

Offsides

280

0.93

1.63

489

GK saves

545

1.82

Vitoria BA

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.27

681

563

1.88

0.11

0.09

7.50

2251

Fouls

2444

8.15

7.14

2141

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vitoria BA vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vitoria BA vs Bahia on 23 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vitoria BA vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vitoria BA's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division standings and the Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division form table to understand exactly where Vitoria BA and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Campeonato Baiano Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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