Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Virtus Francavilla

L L D W D

No standing data

1-1

04/05/2025 13:00

ASD Ugento

L W W L L

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Virtus Francavilla to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Virtus Francavilla and ASD Ugento have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2025-05-04

Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento - Prediction & Odds

Virtus Francavilla

ASD Ugento

2025-05-04 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Virtus Francavilla and ASD Ugento in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

22/12/2024 13:30

ASD Ugento

1 - 0

Francavilla

ITA S4

25/08/2024 17:30

Francavilla

2 - 1

ASD Ugento

ITA S4 CUP

Virtus Francavilla

50%

Draw

ASD Ugento

50%

Virtus Francavilla Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 13:00

Nardo 1 - 0 Francavilla ITA S4

17/04/2025 13:00

Francavilla 1 - 3 Nocerina ITA S4

13/04/2025 13:00

Matera 2 - 2 Francavilla ITA S4

06/04/2025 14:00

Francavilla 4 - 0 SS Angri ITA S4

30/03/2025 14:00

Francavilla 1 - 1 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

23/03/2025 13:30

Costa D’Amalfi 0 - 2 Francavilla ITA S4

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches ASD Ugento

27/04/2025 13:00

ASD Ugento 1 - 4 Matera ITA S4

17/04/2025 13:00

Citta di Fasano 0 - 2 ASD Ugento ITA S4

13/04/2025 13:30

ASD Ugento 2 - 0 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4

06/04/2025 13:00

FB Brindisi 1912 3 - 0 ASD Ugento ITA S4

30/03/2025 14:00

ASD Ugento 2 - 3 Casarano ITA S4

23/03/2025 13:30

Palmese 1914 2 - 0 ASD Ugento ITA S4

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Virtus Francavilla

233

ASD Ugento

Goals

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

121

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

Avg. per game

0.38

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 233 matches

YesNo

87 (37%)146 (63%)

In last 233 matches

NoYes

12 (32%)25 (68%)

Virtus Francavilla

Recent matches

ASD Ugento

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)26 11(30%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)10 27(73%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)13 24(65%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)14 23(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Virtus Francavilla

ASD Ugento

Shots

Virtus Francavilla

Total shots

9.08 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

ASD Ugento

Total shots

7.69 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Virtus Francavilla Pass ASD Ugento

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Virtus Francavilla

233

Played games

ASD Ugento

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.24

3.66

853

Corners

2.65

0.11

Throw-ins

0.00

0.09

Offsides

0.00

0.03

GK saves

0.00

Virtus Francavilla

DISCIPLINARY

ASD Ugento

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.51

584

1.57

0.12

0.19

1.04

243

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Virtus Francavilla vs ASD Ugento Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Virtus Francavilla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against ASD Ugento's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Virtus Francavilla and ASD Ugento sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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