Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Vasco da Gama

L L L W L

14th place in Brazil Serie A

4-3

05/10/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA

D D W W L

15th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA preview before placing your bet.

Vasco da Gama are currently 14th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Vitoria BA sit 15th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vasco da Gama to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Vasco da Gama and Vitoria BA have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-10-05

Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA - Prediction & Odds

Vasco da Gama

Vitoria BA

2025-10-05 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

10/05/2025 17:30

Vitoria BA

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

01/09/2024 17:30

Vitoria BA

0 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

12/05/2024 17:30

Vasco da Gama

2 - 1

Vitoria BA

BRA D1

10/11/2021 20:30

Vasco da Gama

0 - 3

Vitoria BA

BRA D2

07/08/2021 18:30

Vitoria BA

0 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D2

09/09/2018 18:00

Vitoria BA

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Vasco da Gama

50%

Draw

Vitoria BA

50%

Vasco da Gama Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 17:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Cruzeiro BRA D1

24/09/2025 18:30

Vasco da Gama 3 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

21/09/2025 16:30

Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

14/09/2025 19:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 Ceara BRA D1

11/09/2025 20:30

Botafogo RJ 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil

31/08/2025 19:30

Sport Club do Recife 2 - 3 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Vitoria BA

28/09/2025 10:00

Gremio (RS) 3 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA D1

20/09/2025 15:00

Vitoria BA 0 - 1 Fluminense RJ BRA D1

13/09/2025 15:00

Fortaleza 2 - 0 Vitoria BA BRA D1

31/08/2025 17:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

25/08/2025 20:00

Flamengo 8 - 0 Vitoria BA BRA D1

16/08/2025 17:30

Vitoria BA 2 - 2 Juventude BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

201

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

142 (47%)158 (53%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

143 (48%)157 (52%)

Vasco da Gama

Recent matches

Vitoria BA

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vasco da Gama

Vitoria BA

Shots

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

545 total

Avg. 2.95

Vitoria BA

Total shots

11.84 avg / game

Blocked

409 total

Avg. 3.10

Vasco da Gama Pass Vitoria BA

Total passes

90230

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

57898

Avg. 347 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vasco da Gama

300

Played games

Vitoria BA

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

113

0.38

4.53

1358

Corners

1425

4.75

10.16

3047

Throw-ins

1745

5.82

0.95

285

Offsides

231

0.77

2.34

702

GK saves

491

1.64

Vasco da Gama

DISCIPLINARY

Vitoria BA

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.13

639

683

2.28

0.13

0.11

9.70

2911

Fouls

2268

7.56

10.28

3084

Tackles

2141

7.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria BA Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vasco da Gama's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vitoria BA's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Vasco da Gama and Vitoria BA sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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