Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 July

Vasco da Gama

W D D L L

15th place in Brazil Serie A

0-2

23/07/2023 17:30

Atletico Paranaense

D D D D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense on 23 July 2023 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense preview before placing your bet.

Vasco da Gama are currently 15th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Paranaense sit 7th with 56 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 30%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Paranaense, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2023-07-23

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense - Prediction & Odds

Vasco da Gama

Atletico Paranaense

2023-07-23 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/07/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	70	38	20	10	8	64	33	31
02 Gremio (RS)	68	38	21	5	12	63	56	7
03 Atletico Mineiro	66	38	19	9	10	52	32	20
04 Flamengo	66	38	19	9	10	56	42	14
05 Botafogo RJ	64	38	18	10	10	58	37	21
06 Bragantino	62	38	17	11	10	49	35	14
07 Atletico Paranaense	56	38	14	14	10	51	43	8
08 Fluminense RJ	56	38	16	8	14	51	47	4
09 Internacional RS	55	38	15	10	13	46	45	1
10 Fortaleza	54	38	15	9	14	45	44	1
11 Sao Paulo	53	38	14	11	13	40	38	2
12 Cuiaba	51	38	14	9	15	40	39	1
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	50	38	12	14	12	47	48	-1
14 Cruzeiro	47	38	11	14	13	35	32	3
15 Vasco da Gama	45	38	12	9	17	41	51	-10
16 Bahia	44	38	12	8	18	50	53	-3
17 Santos	43	38	11	10	17	39	64	-25
18 Goias	38	38	9	11	18	36	53	-17
19 Coritiba PR	30	38	8	6	24	41	73	-32
20 America MG	24	38	5	9	24	42	81	-39

Head To Head

27/12/2020 17:15

Atletico Paranaense

3 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

06/09/2020 17:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 0

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

22/09/2019 15:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

28/04/2019 15:00

Atletico Paranaense

4 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

14/11/2018 17:30

Vasco da Gama

1 - 1

Atletico Paranaense

BRA D1

29/08/2018 18:30

Atletico Paranaense

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Vasco da Gama

17%

Draw

33%

Atletico Paranaense

50%

Vasco da Gama Last 6 matches

08/07/2023 15:00

Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 Cruzeiro BRA D1

02/07/2023 15:00

Botafogo RJ 2 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

26/06/2023 20:00

Vasco da Gama 1 - 0 Cuiaba BRA D1

22/06/2023 19:00

Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 Goias BRA D1

11/06/2023 15:00

Internacional RS 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

05/06/2023 19:00

Vasco da Gama 1 - 4 Flamengo BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Atletico Paranaense

16/07/2023 17:30

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Bahia BRA D1

12/07/2023 20:30

Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Flamengo Copa do Brasil

09/07/2023 17:30

Fortaleza 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

05/07/2023 20:30

Flamengo 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil

02/07/2023 15:00

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

27/06/2023 18:00

Atletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

214

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

234

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

158

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

141 (47%)159 (53%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

165 (55%)135 (45%)

Vasco da Gama

Recent matches

Atletico Paranaense

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vasco da Gama

Atletico Paranaense

Shots

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 2.92

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots

12.07 avg / game

Blocked

539 total

Avg. 3.13

Vasco da Gama Pass Atletico Paranaense

Total passes

89736

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

74649

Avg. 344 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vasco da Gama

300

Played games

Atletico Paranaense

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

103

0.34

4.49

1347

Corners

1507

5.02

10.26

3079

Throw-ins

3452

11.51

0.95

284

Offsides

302

1.01

2.32

697

GK saves

609

2.03

Vasco da Gama

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Paranaense

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.13

639

604

2.01

0.12

0.10

9.66

2899

Fouls

2876

9.59

10.21

3063

Tackles

2718

9.06

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense on 23 July 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Paranaense Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vasco da Gama's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Paranaense's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Vasco da Gama and Atletico Paranaense sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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