Valenzana vs Derthona: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Valenzana
DDLWL
No standing data
1
1-2
FT
28/09/2025 09:00
Derthona
LLLWL
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Valenzana vs Derthona on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Valenzana vs Derthona preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Valenzana to win with probability 42%.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:00

2025-09-28

Valenzana vs Derthona - Prediction & Odds

Valenzana
Valenzana
Derthona
Derthona
2025-09-28 09:00
42
28
30
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.15
FT
1-2 0-1
-
weather
21°C
STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Valenzana and Derthona in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Valenzana Valenzana Last 6 matches
24/09/2025 09:00
Asti 1 - 1 Valenzana ITA S4
20/09/2025 09:00
Valenzana 1 - 1 Sanremese ITA S4
14/09/2025 10:00
Biellese 2 - 0 Valenzana ITA S4
07/09/2025 09:00
Valenzana 2 - 1 NovaRomentin ITA S4
24/08/2025 11:30
Biellesse 1 - 0 Valenzana ITA S4 CUP
06/05/2012 09:00
Valenzana 2 - 2 Renate AC ITA C2
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Derthona Derthona
24/09/2025 09:00
Derthona 0 - 2 Ligorna ITA S4
20/09/2025 09:00
FC Vado 1 - 0 Derthona ITA S4
14/09/2025 09:00
Derthona 1 - 3 Sestri Levante ITA S4
07/09/2025 09:00
Club Milano 2 - 3 Derthona ITA S4
31/08/2025 10:00
NovaRomentin 1 - 0 Derthona ITA S4 CUP
04/05/2025 09:00
Derthona 0 - 2 FC Vado ITA S4
Win
17%
Draw
0%
Lost
83%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Valenzana
Valenzana
35
 Derthona
Derthona
215
Goals
Scored
18
Avg. per game
0.51
Conceded
25
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
146
Avg. per game
0.68
Conceded
161
Avg. per game
0.75
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 35 matches
YesNo
17 (49%)18 (51%)
In last 35 matches
NoYes
102 (47%)113 (53%)
Valenzana

Valenzana

Recent matches

Derthona

Derthona

Under /Over

(71%)25 10(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)10 25(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(34%)12 23(66%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(49%)17 18(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Valenzana Valenzana
Derthona Derthona
Shots
Valenzana
Valenzana
Total shots
9.44 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Derthona
Derthona
Total shots
10.34 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Valenzana Valenzana Pass Derthona Derthona
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Valenzana
Valenzana
2112
Avg. 60.34 / game
 Derthona
Derthona
12702
Avg. 59.08 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Valenzana
Valenzana
1097
Avg. 31.34 / game
 Derthona
Derthona
6977
Avg. 32.45 / game
OTHERS
Valenzana
Valenzana
35
Played games
Derthona
Derthona
215
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.26
9
Clean sheets
56
0.26
3.43
120
Corners
574
2.67
0.00
0
Throw-ins
29
0.13
0.94
33
Offsides
45
0.21
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Valenzana
Valenzana
DISCIPLINARY
Derthona
Derthona
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.60
56
Yellow card
340
1.58
0.03
1
Red card
27
0.13
5.20
182
Fouls
234
1.09
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Valenzana vs Derthona Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Valenzana vs Derthona on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Valenzana vs Derthona Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Valenzana's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derthona's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Valenzana and Derthona sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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