UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

UTC Cajamarca

L D

17th place in Clausura

0-1

28/02/2026 14:15

Alianza Lima

W D

1st place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima preview before placing your bet.

UTC Cajamarca are currently 17th with 1 points after 3 matches.
Alianza Lima sit 1st with 7 points from 3 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Alianza Lima, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. UTC Cajamarca have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:15

2026-02-28

UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima - Prediction & Odds

UTC Cajamarca

Alianza Lima

2026-02-28 14:15

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	7	3	2	1	0	7	4	3
02 FBC Melgar	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
03 Cusco FC	6	3	2	0	1	9	4	5
04 Sport Huancayo	6	3	2	0	1	5	2	3
05 Sporting Cristal	6	3	2	0	1	4	2	2
06 Sport Boys	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
07 Deportivo Garcilaso	6	3	2	0	1	3	2	1
08 Los Chankas	6	3	2	0	1	5	5	0
09 Universitario De Deportes	6	3	2	0	1	4	4	0
10 Juan Pablo II College	4	3	1	1	1	4	4	0
11 UCV Moquegua	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
12 Atletico Grau	3	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1
13 Cienciano	3	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2
14 Alianza Atletico Sullana	3	3	1	0	2	5	8	-3
15 Comerciantes Unidos	2	3	0	2	1	6	7	-1
16 FC Cajamarca	1	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3
17 UTC Cajamarca	1	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5
18 AD Tarma	0	3	0	0	3	1	5	-4

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	40	17	12	4	1	30	8	22
02 Los Chankas	34	17	10	4	3	25	21	4
03 Cienciano	33	17	10	3	4	34	22	12
04 Universitario De Deportes	29	17	8	5	4	24	15	9
05 FBC Melgar	28	17	8	4	5	29	20	9
06 Cusco FC	27	17	8	3	6	21	24	-3
07 Deportivo Garcilaso	26	17	7	5	5	21	18	3
08 Alianza Atletico Sullana	21	17	5	6	6	20	18	2
09 Comerciantes Unidos	21	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2
10 AD Tarma	20	17	5	5	7	22	21	1
11 Sport Boys	20	17	5	5	7	15	19	-4
12 Sporting Cristal	19	17	5	4	8	28	30	-2
13 UTC Cajamarca	18	17	4	6	7	21	26	-5
14 UCV Moquegua	18	17	5	3	9	17	24	-7
15 FC Cajamarca	17	17	4	5	8	23	28	-5
16 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	12	18	-6
17 Sport Huancayo	16	17	4	4	9	21	31	-10
18 Juan Pablo II College	16	17	4	4	9	22	40	-18

Head To Head

23/11/2025 16:00

Alianza Lima

3 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER L1

12/07/2025 16:00

UTC Cajamarca

0 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER L1

18/10/2024 16:00

UTC Cajamarca

0 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER L1

03/05/2024 21:30

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER L1

05/08/2023 21:00

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

UTC Cajamarca

PER L1

05/03/2023 16:30

UTC Cajamarca

0 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER L1

UTC Cajamarca

Draw

17%

Alianza Lima

83%

UTC Cajamarca Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 16:00

UTC Cajamarca 1 - 0 Cusco FC PER L1

06/02/2026 16:00

UCV Moquegua 2 - 3 UTC Cajamarca PER L1

30/01/2026 16:15

UTC Cajamarca 2 - 0 Atletico Grau PER L1

25/01/2026 16:30

UTC Cajamarca 1 - 1 Comerciantes Unidos INT CF

21/01/2026 16:30

Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 1 UTC Cajamarca INT CF

23/11/2025 16:00

Alianza Lima 3 - 0 UTC Cajamarca PER L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Alianza Lima

20/02/2026 21:00

Alianza Lima 1 - 0 Sport Boys PER L1

14/02/2026 21:00

Alianza Atletico Sullana 0 - 0 Alianza Lima PER L1

11/02/2026 20:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 1 2 de Mayo PJC CON CLA

08/02/2026 19:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 1 Comerciantes Unidos PER L1

04/02/2026 20:30

2 de Mayo PJC 1 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

30/01/2026 13:00

Sport Huancayo 1 - 2 Alianza Lima PER L1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

152

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

186

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

135

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 209 matches

YesNo

104 (50%)105 (50%)

In last 209 matches

NoYes

162 (61%)105 (39%)

UTC Cajamarca

Recent matches

Alianza Lima

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

UTC Cajamarca

Alianza Lima

Shots

UTC Cajamarca

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

324 total

Avg. 2.92

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.88 avg / game

Blocked

367 total

Avg. 2.84

UTC Cajamarca Pass Alianza Lima

Total passes

51797

Avg. 314 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

74232

Avg. 352 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

UTC Cajamarca

209

Played games

Alianza Lima

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

112

0.42

4.95

1034

Corners

1297

4.86

5.57

1164

Throw-ins

1343

5.03

1.45

304

Offsides

417

1.56

2.90

606

GK saves

582

2.18

UTC Cajamarca

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Lima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.26

473

592

2.22

0.15

0.17

12.24

2559

Fouls

3059

11.46

9.11

1903

Tackles

2675

10.02

NEXT MATCHES

Universitario De Deportes

PER

09/05

Alianza Atletico Sullana

NEXT MATCHES

Juan Pablo II College

Alianza Lima

PER

How We Build the UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess UTC Cajamarca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Lima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where UTC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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