USA vs Mexico: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 June

USA
DWWDL
1st place in Group D
1
3-0
FT
16/06/2023 02:15
Mexico
DWDDW
1st place in Group A
CONCACAF Nations League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 16 June 2023 (kick-off: 02:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full USA vs Mexico preview before placing your bet.

  • USA are currently 1st with 10 points after 4 matches.
  • Mexico sit 1st with 8 points from 4 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: USA to win with probability 38%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: USA and Mexico have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
02:15

2023-06-16

USA vs Mexico - Prediction & Odds

USA
USA
Mexico
Mexico
2023-06-16 02:15
38
28
34
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.35
FT
3-0 1-0
-
weather
20℃～21℃
STANDINGS UP TO 16/06/2023
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Mexico Mexico
8 4 2 2 0 8 3 5
02 Jamaica Jamaica
6 4 1 3 0 7 5 2
03 Suriname Suriname
1 4 0 1 3 2 9 -7
Group D PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 USA USA
10 4 3 1 0 14 2 12
02 El Salvador El Salvador
5 4 1 2 1 6 5 1
03 Grenada Grenada
1 4 0 1 3 4 17 -13
Head To Head
20/04/2023 02:20
USA USA
1 - 1
Mexico Mexico
INT FRL
25/03/2022 02:00
Mexico Mexico
0 - 0
USA USA
WCPCA
13/11/2021 02:10
USA USA
2 - 0
Mexico Mexico
WCPCA
02/08/2021 01:00
USA USA
0 - 0
Mexico Mexico
CGC
07/06/2021 01:40
USA USA
2 - 2
Mexico Mexico
CONCACAF NL
07/09/2019 01:00
USA USA
0 - 3
Mexico Mexico
INT FRL
USA
1
17%
Draw
4
67%
Mexico
1
17%
USA USA Last 6 matches
20/04/2023 02:20
USA 1 - 1 Mexico INT FRL
27/03/2023 23:30
USA 1 - 0 El Salvador CONCACAF NL
25/03/2023 00:00
Grenada 1 - 7 USA CONCACAF NL
29/01/2023 00:30
USA 0 - 0 Colombia INT FRL
26/01/2023 03:05
USA 1 - 2 Serbia INT FRL
03/12/2022 15:00
Netherlands 3 - 1 USA World Cup
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Mexico Mexico
11/06/2023 02:00
Mexico 2 - 2 Cameroon INT FRL
08/06/2023 02:00
Mexico 2 - 0 Guatemala INT FRL
20/04/2023 02:20
USA 1 - 1 Mexico INT FRL
27/03/2023 00:00
Mexico 2 - 2 Jamaica CONCACAF NL
24/03/2023 00:00
Suriname 0 - 2 Mexico CONCACAF NL
30/11/2022 19:00
Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Mexico World Cup
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues CONCACAF Nations Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
USA
USA
110
 Mexico
Mexico
122
Goals
Scored
104
Avg. per game
0.95
Conceded
53
Avg. per game
0.48
Scored
117
Avg. per game
0.96
Conceded
62
Avg. per game
0.51
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 110 matches
YesNo
65 (59%)45 (41%)
In last 110 matches
NoYes
75 (61%)47 (39%)
USA

USA

Recent matches

Mexico

Mexico

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
USA USA
Mexico Mexico
Shots
USA
USA
Total shots
10.54 avg / game
Blocked
114 total
Avg. 2.71
Mexico
Mexico
Total shots
12.63 avg / game
Blocked
207 total
Avg. 4.22
USA USA Pass Mexico Mexico
Total passes
26719
Avg. 438 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
56%
Total passes
30008
Avg. 469 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
58%
TOTAL ATTACKS
USA
USA
8944
Avg. 81.31 / game
 Mexico
Mexico
10537
Avg. 86.37 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
USA
USA
4983
Avg. 45.30 / game
 Mexico
Mexico
5591
Avg. 45.83 / game
OTHERS
USA
USA
110
Played games
Mexico
Mexico
122
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.45
50
Clean sheets
65
0.53
4.27
470
Corners
557
4.57
6.20
682
Throw-ins
781
6.40
1.10
121
Offsides
171
1.40
1.74
191
GK saves
168
1.38
USA
USA
DISCIPLINARY
Mexico
Mexico
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.00
110
Yellow card
184
1.51
0.06
7
Red card
5
0.04
9.33
1026
Fouls
1269
10.40
6.00
660
Tackles
842
6.90
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the USA vs Mexico Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 16 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this CONCACAF Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

USA vs Mexico Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess USA's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mexico's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

CONCACAF Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live CONCACAF Nations League standings and the CONCACAF Nations League form table to understand exactly where USA and Mexico sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our CONCACAF Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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