USA vs Mexico: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 March

USA

D L L W W

No standing data

2-0

24/03/2024 21:15

Mexico

W L W L D

No standing data

CONCACAF Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 24 March 2024 (kick-off: 21:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full USA vs Mexico preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: USA to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors USA, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Mexico have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:15

2024-03-24

USA vs Mexico - Prediction & Odds

USA

Mexico

2024-03-24 21:15

STANDINGS UP TO 24/03/2024

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Panama	10	4	3	1	0	9	2	7
02 Trinidad and Tobago	9	4	3	0	1	10	9	1
03 Martinique	7	4	2	1	1	2	3	-1
04 Guatemala	4	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2
05 Curacao	3	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1
06 El Salvador	1	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Jamaica	10	4	3	1	0	10	5	5
02 Honduras	7	4	2	1	1	8	1	7
03 Suriname	5	4	1	2	1	6	3	3
04 Cuba	5	4	1	2	1	1	4	-3
05 Haiti	3	4	0	3	1	5	6	-1
06 Grenada	1	4	0	1	3	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Guadeloupe	15	6	5	0	1	16	3	13
02 St. Lucia	10	6	3	1	2	10	6	4
03 Sint Maarten	6	6	2	0	4	6	15	-9
04 Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	6	1	1	4	4	12	-8

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nicaragua	16	6	5	1	0	17	1	16
02 Dominican Republic	10	6	3	1	2	14	6	8
03 Montserrat	9	6	3	0	3	9	14	-5
04 Barbados	0	6	0	0	6	7	26	-19

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 French Guiana	10	6	3	1	2	10	6	4
02 St. Vincent Grenadines	9	6	3	0	3	13	14	-1
03 Bermuda	8	6	2	2	2	8	9	-1
04 Belize	7	6	2	1	3	5	7	-2

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Guyana	15	5	5	0	0	20	5	15
02 Puerto Rico	12	6	4	0	2	22	10	12
03 Antigua Barbuda	4	6	1	1	4	9	22	-13
04 Bahamas	1	5	0	1	4	7	21	-14

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 French Saint-Martin	12	4	4	0	0	20	1	19
02 Bonaire	6	4	2	0	2	6	6	0
03 Anguilla	0	4	0	0	4	0	19	-19

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aruba	12	4	4	0	0	14	4	10
02 Cayman Islands	4	4	1	1	2	6	10	-4
03 US Virgin Islands	1	4	0	1	3	5	11	-6

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dominica	10	4	3	1	0	8	2	6
02 British Virgin Islands	5	4	1	2	1	7	6	1
03 Turks Caicos Islands	1	4	0	1	3	3	10	-7

Head To Head

15/06/2023 22:15

USA

3 - 0

Mexico

CONCACAF NL

19/04/2023 22:20

USA

1 - 1

Mexico

INT FRL

24/03/2022 22:00

Mexico

0 - 0

USA

WCPCA

12/11/2021 22:10

USA

2 - 0

Mexico

WCPCA

01/08/2021 21:00

USA

0 - 0

Mexico

CGC

06/06/2021 21:40

USA

2 - 2

Mexico

CONCACAF NL

USA

33%

Draw

67%

Mexico

USA Last 6 matches

21/03/2024 19:00

USA 1 - 1 Jamaica CONCACAF NL

20/01/2024 16:00

USA 0 - 1 Slovenia INT FRL

20/11/2023 20:00

Trinidad and Tobago 2 - 1 USA CONCACAF NL

16/11/2023 22:00

USA 3 - 0 Trinidad and Tobago CONCACAF NL

17/10/2023 20:30

USA 4 - 0 Ghana INT FRL

14/10/2023 15:00

USA 1 - 3 Germany INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Mexico

21/03/2024 22:15

Panama 0 - 3 Mexico CONCACAF NL

16/12/2023 20:00

Mexico 2 - 3 Colombia INT FRL

21/11/2023 22:30

Mexico 2 - 0 Honduras CONCACAF NL

17/11/2023 22:00

Honduras 2 - 0 Mexico CONCACAF NL

17/10/2023 20:10

Mexico 2 - 2 Germany INT FRL

14/10/2023 21:00

Mexico 2 - 0 Ghana INT FRL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues CONCACAF Nations Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

104

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

117

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 110 matches

YesNo

65 (59%)45 (41%)

In last 110 matches

NoYes

75 (61%)47 (39%)

USA

Recent matches

Mexico

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

USA

Mexico

Shots

USA

Total shots

10.54 avg / game

Blocked

114 total

Avg. 2.71

Mexico

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

207 total

Avg. 4.22

USA Pass Mexico

Total passes

26719

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

30008

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

USA

110

Played games

Mexico

122

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.53

4.27

470

Corners

557

4.57

6.20

682

Throw-ins

781

6.40

1.10

121

Offsides

171

1.40

1.74

191

GK saves

168

1.38

USA

DISCIPLINARY

Mexico

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.00

110

184

1.51

0.06

0.04

9.33

1026

Fouls

1269

10.40

6.00

660

Tackles

842

6.90

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the USA vs Mexico Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 24 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this CONCACAF Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

USA vs Mexico Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess USA's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mexico's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

CONCACAF Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live CONCACAF Nations League standings and the CONCACAF Nations League form table to understand exactly where USA and Mexico sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our CONCACAF Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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