Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 05

Union Berlin

L L L D W

11th place in German Bundesliga

1-1

05/04/2026 09:30

St. Pauli

L D L L L

18th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Union Berlin vs St. Pauli on April 05, 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Union Berlin vs St. Pauli preview before placing for you.

Union Berlin are currently 11th with 39 points after 34 matches.
St. Pauli sit 18th with 26 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2026-04-05

Union Berlin vs St. Pauli - Prediction & Odds

Union Berlin

St. Pauli

2026-04-05 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 05/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

23/11/2025 12:30

St. Pauli

0 - 1

Union Berlin

GER D1

26/01/2025 12:30

St. Pauli

3 - 0

Union Berlin

GER D1

30/08/2024 14:30

Union Berlin

1 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D1

21/12/2022 08:00

Union Berlin

3 - 2

St. Pauli

INT CF

01/03/2022 15:45

Union Berlin

2 - 1

St. Pauli

GERC

04/02/2019 15:30

St. Pauli

3 - 2

Union Berlin

GER D2

Union Berlin

67%

Draw

St. Pauli

33%

Union Berlin Last 6 matches

21/03/2026 10:30

Bayern Munchen 4 - 0 Union Berlin GER D1

15/03/2026 12:30

SC Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin GER D1

08/03/2026 12:30

Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen GER D1

28/02/2026 10:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 0 Union Berlin GER D1

21/02/2026 10:30

Union Berlin 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

14/02/2026 10:30

Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches St. Pauli

22/03/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 1 - 2 SC Freiburg GER D1

13/03/2026 15:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 2 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

08/03/2026 10:30

St. Pauli 0 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

28/02/2026 10:30

TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 1 St. Pauli GER D1

22/02/2026 12:30

St. Pauli 2 - 1 Werder Bremen GER D1

14/02/2026 10:30

Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

209

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

226

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

209

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

157 (52%)143 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

147 (55%)119 (45%)

Union Berlin

Recent matches

St. Pauli

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Union Berlin

St. Pauli

Shots

Union Berlin

Total shots

11.99 avg / game

Blocked

629 total

Avg. 2.85

St. Pauli

Total shots

13.34 avg / game

Blocked

763 total

Avg. 3.78

Union Berlin Pass St. Pauli

Total passes

89734

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

101247

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Union Berlin

300

Played games

St. Pauli

266

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.25

4.66

1399

Corners

1250

4.70

15.56

4667

Throw-ins

4572

17.19

1.64

493

Offsides

404

1.52

2.37

711

GK saves

619

2.33

Union Berlin

DISCIPLINARY

St. Pauli

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

496

418

1.57

0.08

0.07

10.38

3114

Fouls

2328

8.75

11.53

3460

Tackles

2947

11.08

NEXT MATCHES

08/22

Eintracht Braunschweig

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Union Berlin vs St. Pauli on 05 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Union Berlin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Union Berlin and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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