Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 January

Union Berlin

L L L D W

11th place in German Bundesliga

2-2

10/01/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 on 10 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Union Berlin are currently 11th with 39 points after 34 matches.
FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th with 40 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Union Berlin, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. FSV Mainz 05 have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2026-01-10

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 - Prediction & Odds

Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05

2026-01-10 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 10/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

19/01/2025 10:30

Union Berlin

2 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

24/08/2024 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 1

Union Berlin

GER D1

07/02/2024 13:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 1

Union Berlin

GER D1

20/08/2023 09:30

Union Berlin

4 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

04/02/2023 10:30

Union Berlin

2 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

14/08/2022 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 0

Union Berlin

GER D1

Union Berlin

50%

Draw

50%

FSV Mainz 05

Union Berlin Last 6 matches

05/01/2026 13:30

Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 Union Berlin INT CF

20/12/2025 10:30

FC Koln 0 - 1 Union Berlin GER D1

12/12/2025 15:30

Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

06/12/2025 10:30

VfL Wolfsburg 3 - 1 Union Berlin GER D1

03/12/2025 15:45

Union Berlin 2 - 3 Bayern Munchen GERC

29/11/2025 10:30

Union Berlin 1 - 2 Heidenheimer GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches FSV Mainz 05

21/12/2025 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 St. Pauli GER D1

18/12/2025 16:00

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Samsunspor UEFA ECL

14/12/2025 12:30

Bayern Munchen 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

11/12/2025 16:00

Lech Poznan 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL

05/12/2025 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 Borussia Monchengladbach GER D1

30/11/2025 14:30

SC Freiburg 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

231

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

209

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

208

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

157 (52%)143 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

141 (53%)126 (47%)

Union Berlin

Recent matches

FSV Mainz 05

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05

Shots

Union Berlin

Total shots

11.99 avg / game

Blocked

629 total

Avg. 2.85

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.73 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

Union Berlin Pass FSV Mainz 05

Total passes

89734

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Union Berlin

300

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.25

4.66

1399

Corners

1272

4.76

15.56

4667

Throw-ins

4887

18.30

1.64

493

Offsides

475

1.78

2.37

711

GK saves

711

2.66

Union Berlin

DISCIPLINARY

FSV Mainz 05

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

496

488

1.83

0.08

0.08

10.38

3114

Fouls

3092

11.58

11.53

3460

Tackles

3422

12.82

NEXT MATCHES

08/22

Eintracht Braunschweig

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 on 10 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Union Berlin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Union Berlin and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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