Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 February

Union Berlin

D D W W W

2nd place in Group D

3 - 1

23/02/2023 13:00

AFC Ajax

W D W W W

No standing data

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax on 23 February 2023 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Union Berlin are currently 2nd with 12 points after 6 matches.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Union Berlin and AFC Ajax have each won 0 of the last 2 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 23/02/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Saint Gilloise	13	6	4	1	1	11	7	4
02 Union Berlin	12	6	4	0	2	4	2	2
03 Sporting Braga	10	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
04 Malmo FF	0	6	0	0	6	3	11	-8

Head To Head

16/02/2023 10:45

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

Union Berlin

UEFA EL

30/08/2020 04:00

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

Union Berlin

INT CF

Union Berlin

Draw

100%

AFC Ajax

Union Berlin Last 6 matches

19/02/2023 07:30

Union Berlin 0 - 0 Schalke 04 GER D1

16/02/2023 10:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Union Berlin UEFA EL

11/02/2023 10:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Union Berlin GER D1

04/02/2023 07:30

Union Berlin 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

31/01/2023 12:45

Union Berlin 2 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg GERC

28/01/2023 07:30

Hertha Berlin 0 - 2 Union Berlin GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

19/02/2023 08:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

16/02/2023 10:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Union Berlin UEFA EL

12/02/2023 08:45

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

09/02/2023 10:45

FC Twente Enschede 0 - 1 AFC Ajax HOLC

05/02/2023 04:15

SC Cambuur 0 - 5 AFC Ajax HOL D1

29/01/2023 06:30

Excelsior SBV 1 - 4 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

229

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 298 matches

YesNo

156 (52%)142 (48%)

In last 298 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Union Berlin

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Union Berlin

AFC Ajax

Shots

Union Berlin

Total shots

11.99 avg / game

Blocked

629 total

Avg. 2.85

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

Union Berlin Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

89734

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Union Berlin

298

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.62

1376

Corners

1710

5.70

15.63

4659

Throw-ins

4373

14.58

1.65

491

Offsides

496

1.65

2.39

711

GK saves

765

2.55

Union Berlin

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

495

441

1.47

0.08

0.08

10.42

3105

Fouls

2938

9.79

11.61

3460

Tackles

3603

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

Eintracht Braunschweig

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax on 23 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Union Berlin vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Union Berlin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where Union Berlin and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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