Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Umm Mughad
WDLWW
4th place in League
1 - 3
FT
11/01/2026 12:00
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
WWWWW
1st place in League
Sudanese Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani preview before placing your bet.

  • Umm Mughad are currently 4th with 20 points after 10 matches.
  • Al-Ahli Wad Madani sit 1st with 30 points from 10 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
30 10 10 0 0 24 6 18
02 Al-Hilal Omdurman B Al-Hilal Omdurman B
22 10 6 4 0 19 7 12
03 Al Merreikh B Al Merreikh B
22 10 6 4 0 15 7 8
04 Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
20 10 6 2 2 18 7 11
05 Hilal Alsahel Hilal Alsahel
19 10 5 4 1 13 6 7
06 Hilal El Fasher Hilal El Fasher
19 10 5 4 1 11 7 4
07 Haidoub FC Haidoub FC
15 10 4 3 3 13 8 5
08 Al Fajr Al Fajr
15 10 4 3 3 17 17 0
09 Al Hilal Manaqil Al Hilal Manaqil
14 10 3 5 2 10 7 3
10 Al Shorta Al Qadarif Al Shorta Al Qadarif
13 10 3 4 3 8 6 2
11 Al Fallah SC Al Fallah SC
13 10 3 4 3 5 4 1
12 Al Saham SC Al Saham SC
12 10 2 6 2 10 9 1
13 Hay Al Wadi Hay Al Wadi
12 10 3 3 4 13 14 -1
14 Al Taqadom Al Taqadom
11 10 2 5 3 14 16 -2
15 Zamala Ruwaba Zamala Ruwaba
11 10 3 2 5 11 13 -2
16 Al Hilal Karima Al Hilal Karima
11 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6
17 Amal Atbara Amal Atbara
10 10 2 4 4 8 10 -2
18 Al-Merreikh Obeid Al-Merreikh Obeid
10 10 3 1 6 14 20 -6
19 Rabita Kosti Rabita Kosti
10 10 3 1 6 7 14 -7
20 Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Ahly Merowe
9 10 1 6 3 6 8 -2
21 Al-Mergheni Al-Mergheni
7 10 0 7 3 9 14 -5
22 Meyrick Kos Te Meyrick Kos Te
5 10 1 2 7 7 17 -10
23 Kober Khartoum Kober Khartoum
5 10 1 2 7 3 17 -14
24 Ahli Al Khartoum Ahli Al Khartoum
5 10 1 2 7 6 21 -15
Championship Round PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Hilal Omdurman B Al-Hilal Omdurman B
21 7 7 0 0 16 1 15
02 Al Merreikh B Al Merreikh B
18 7 6 0 1 21 4 17
03 Hilal Alsahel Hilal Alsahel
11 7 3 2 2 10 6 4
04 Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
11 7 3 2 2 13 11 2
05 Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
9 7 3 0 4 10 15 -5
06 Hilal El Fasher Hilal El Fasher
5 7 1 2 4 3 7 -4
07 Hay Al Wadi Hay Al Wadi
5 7 1 2 4 6 14 -8
08 Al Fallah SC Al Fallah SC
0 7 0 0 7 2 23 -21
Umm Mughad Umm Mughad Last 6 matches
07/01/2026 09:30
Umm Mughad 0 - 0 Al Hilal Manaqil SUD PR
04/02/2025 09:00
Umm Mughad 2 - 1 Kober Khartoum SUD PR
01/02/2025 09:00
Umm Mughad 1 - 1 Hay Al Wadi SUD PR
25/01/2025 09:00
Al-Ahly Merowe 1 - 1 Umm Mughad SUD PR
20/01/2025 09:00
Hay Al Wadi 1 - 1 Umm Mughad SUD PR
15/01/2025 09:00
Al-Ahly Merowe 0 - 0 Umm Mughad SUD PR
Win
17%
Draw
83%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
07/01/2026 09:30
Al-Ahli Wad Madani 3 - 0 Ahli Al Khartoum SUD PR
27/09/2025 12:55
ES du Sahel 3 - 0 Al-Ahli Wad Madani CAF Cup
20/09/2025 09:00
Al-Ahli Wad Madani 1 - 0 ES du Sahel CAF Cup
10/09/2025 08:00
Mogadishu City 2 - 1 Al-Ahli Wad Madani CECAFA CC
07/09/2025 06:00
Al-Ahli Wad Madani 1 - 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman CECAFA CC
04/09/2025 06:00
Kator FC 0 - 0 Al-Ahli Wad Madani CECAFA CC
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Sudanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
23
 Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
37
Goals
Scored
25
Avg. per game
1.09
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored
40
Avg. per game
1.08
Conceded
21
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 23 matches
YesNo
18 (78%)5 (22%)
In last 23 matches
NoYes
23 (62%)14 (38%)
Umm Mughad

Umm Mughad

Recent matches

Al-Ahli Wad Madani

Al-Ahli Wad Madani

Under /Over

(87%)20 3(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)23 14(38%)

Under /Over

(26%)6 17(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(19%)7 30(81%)

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(46%)17 20(54%)

/Yes

(52%)12 11(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)14 23(62%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Shots
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
Total shots
— avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Total shots
5.50 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Umm Mughad Umm Mughad Pass Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
—
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
42%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
 Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
278
Avg. 7.51 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
 Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
142
Avg. 3.84 / game
OTHERS
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
23
Played games
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
37
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.39
9
Clean sheets
19
0.51
0.00
0
Corners
10
0.27
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
DISCIPLINARY
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Al-Ahli Wad Madani
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.00
0
Yellow card
6
0.16
0.00
0
Red card
1
0.03
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Sudanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Umm Mughad vs Al-Ahli Wad Madani Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Umm Mughad's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Ahli Wad Madani's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Sudanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Sudanese Premier League standings and the Sudanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Umm Mughad and Al-Ahli Wad Madani sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Sudanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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