UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

UMF Selfoss

D W D W W

6th place in Group D

0-6

11/02/2025 15:00

Stjarnan Gardabaer

W L W W L

3rd place in Group D

Iceland League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer on 11 February 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer preview before placing your bet.

UMF Selfoss are currently 6th with 2 points after 5 matches.
Stjarnan Gardabaer sit 3rd with 7 points from 5 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Stjarnan Gardabaer to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Stjarnan Gardabaer, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. UMF Selfoss have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-02-11

UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer - Prediction & Odds

UMF Selfoss

Stjarnan Gardabaer

2025-02-11 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2025

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 KR Reykjavik	15	5	5	0	0	21	6	15
02 Keflavik	12	5	4	0	1	13	7	6
03 Stjarnan Gardabaer	7	5	2	1	2	12	10	2
04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	5	1	1	3	9	13	-4
05 Leiknir Reykjavik	2	5	0	2	3	13	20	-7
06 UMF Selfoss	2	5	0	2	3	7	19	-12

Head To Head

13/03/2021 10:00

UMF Selfoss

2 - 1

Stjarnan Gardabaer

ICE LC

28/05/2014 14:00

Stjarnan Gardabaer

6 - 0

UMF Selfoss

ICE CUP

21/03/2014 15:00

Stjarnan Gardabaer

3 - 2

UMF Selfoss

ICE LC

19/01/2013 09:00

UMF Selfoss

3 - 1

Stjarnan Gardabaer

ICE CH

23/09/2012 11:59

Stjarnan Gardabaer

4 - 2

UMF Selfoss

ICE PR

05/07/2012 15:15

UMF Selfoss

1 - 3

Stjarnan Gardabaer

ICE PR

UMF Selfoss

33%

Draw

Stjarnan Gardabaer

67%

UMF Selfoss Last 6 matches

06/02/2025 15:00

UMF Selfoss 5 - 5 Leiknir Reykjavik ICE LC

21/09/2024 08:50

UMF Selfoss 4 - 1 FC Arbaer ICE LLC

14/09/2024 10:00

UMF Selfoss 2 - 2 KFR Aegir ICE D2

08/09/2024 10:00

KF Gardabaer 1 - 3 UMF Selfoss ICE D2

31/08/2024 10:00

UMF Selfoss 5 - 0 HotturHuginn ICE D2

26/08/2024 14:00

Haukar Hafnarfjordur 1 - 2 UMF Selfoss ICE D2

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Stjarnan Gardabaer

08/02/2025 10:00

Stjarnan Gardabaer 3 - 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar ICE LC

31/01/2025 16:00

Breidablik 4 - 2 Stjarnan Gardabaer INT CF

18/01/2025 08:30

Stjarnan Gardabaer 6 - 1 Vestri INT CF

26/10/2024 12:15

Stjarnan Gardabaer 3 - 2 Hafnarfjordur ICE PR

19/10/2024 13:00

Breidablik 2 - 1 Stjarnan Gardabaer ICE PR

06/10/2024 13:00

Vikingur Reykjavik 2 - 2 Stjarnan Gardabaer ICE PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Iceland League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

205

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

181

Avg. per game

0.99

Scored

239

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

202

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 183 matches

YesNo

120 (66%)63 (34%)

In last 183 matches

NoYes

147 (65%)79 (35%)

UMF Selfoss

Recent matches

Stjarnan Gardabaer

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)37 8(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

UMF Selfoss

Stjarnan Gardabaer

Shots

UMF Selfoss

Total shots

10.86 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Stjarnan Gardabaer

Total shots

11.33 avg / game

Blocked

127 total

Avg. 3.74

UMF Selfoss Pass Stjarnan Gardabaer

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

21403

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

UMF Selfoss

183

Played games

Stjarnan Gardabaer

226

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.20

4.71

862

Corners

1282

5.67

0.45

Throw-ins

1064

4.71

0.14

Offsides

126

0.56

0.07

GK saves

559

2.47

UMF Selfoss

DISCIPLINARY

Stjarnan Gardabaer

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

320

469

2.08

0.09

0.08

0.83

151

Fouls

806

3.57

0.00

Tackles

534

2.36

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer on 11 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Iceland League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

UMF Selfoss vs Stjarnan Gardabaer Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess UMF Selfoss's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Stjarnan Gardabaer's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Iceland League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Iceland League Cup standings and the Iceland League Cup form table to understand exactly where UMF Selfoss and Stjarnan Gardabaer sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Iceland League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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