Turkey vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Prediction

Turkey

W L L W W

3rd place in Group A

? - ?

28/09/2026 14:45

Italy

W W D W L

4th place in Group A

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Turkey vs Italy on 28 September 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Turkey vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Turkey are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Italy sit 4th with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Belgium	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 France	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Turkey	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Italy	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Turkey Last 6 matches

26/06/2026 09:00

Turkey 3 - 2 USA FIFA World Cup

20/06/2026 10:00

Turkey 0 - 1 Paraguay FIFA World Cup

14/06/2026 11:00

Australia 2 - 0 Turkey FIFA World Cup

07/06/2026 05:00

Turkey 2 - 1 Venezuela International Friendly

02/06/2026 00:30

Turkey 4 - 0 North Macedonia International Friendly

01/04/2026 01:45

Kosovo 0 - 1 Turkey FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Italy

08/06/2026 02:00

Greece 0 - 1 Italy International Friendly

04/06/2026 01:45

Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy International Friendly

01/04/2026 01:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Italy FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

27/03/2026 02:45

Italy 2 - 0 Northern Ireland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

17/11/2025 02:45

Italy 1 - 4 Norway FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

14/11/2025 02:45

Moldova 0 - 2 Italy FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Turkey

Italy

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

57 (67%)28 (33%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

Turkey

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Turkey

Italy

Shots

Turkey

Total shots

15.56 avg / game

Blocked

261 total

Avg. 4.42

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Turkey Pass Italy

Total passes

30277

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Turkey

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.47

4.84

411

Corners

425

5.00

12.45

1058

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

1.54

131

Offsides

150

1.76

2.05

174

GK saves

161

1.89

Turkey

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.82

155

122

1.44

0.05

0.05

9.18

780

Fouls

830

9.76

9.55

812

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Turkey vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Turkey vs Italy on 28 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Turkey vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Turkey's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Turkey and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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