Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Treowen Stars

W W L L L

9th place in South

0-5

27/09/2025 09:30

Caerau Ely

W W D W W

4th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely preview before placing your bet.

Treowen Stars are currently 9th with 37 points after 30 matches.
Caerau Ely sit 4th with 57 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caerau Ely to win with probability 54%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-09-27

Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely - Prediction & Odds

Treowen Stars

Caerau Ely

2025-09-27 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Treowen Stars Last 6 matches

12/09/2025 14:30

Carmarthen 1 - 1 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

06/09/2025 09:30

Treowen Stars 2 - 2 Cwmbran Celtic WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Trey Thomas Drossel 1 - 1 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Ammanford 1 - 0 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Treowen Stars 1 - 3 Trefelin WAL FAWC

09/08/2025 09:30

Afan Lido 0 - 4 Treowen Stars WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Caerau Ely

17/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

12/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 0 - 0 Llantwit Major WAL FAWC

05/09/2025 14:30

Ammanford 3 - 2 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

25/08/2025 09:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Cardiff Draconians FC 0 - 1 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

08/08/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely 1 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Treowen Stars

Caerau Ely

120

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.22

Scored

162

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

107

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 37 matches

YesNo

27 (73%)10 (27%)

In last 37 matches

NoYes

87 (73%)33 (28%)

Treowen Stars

Recent matches

Caerau Ely

Under /Over

(92%)34 3(8%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(41%)15 22(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(76%)28 9(24%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(65%)24 13(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Treowen Stars

Caerau Ely

Shots

Treowen Stars

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caerau Ely

Total shots

12.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Treowen Stars Pass Caerau Ely

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Treowen Stars

Played games

Caerau Ely

120

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.27

3.16

117

Corners

571

4.76

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.03

Offsides

0.45

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Treowen Stars

DISCIPLINARY

Caerau Ely

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

141

1.18

0.19

0.08

4.35

161

Fouls

194

1.62

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Treowen Stars vs Caerau Ely Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Treowen Stars's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caerau Ely's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Treowen Stars and Caerau Ely sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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