Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 February

Trefelin

L W W W W

1st place in South

3-0

17/02/2026 15:30

Baglan Dragons

L L D L L

14th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons on 17 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons preview before placing your bet.

Trefelin are currently 1st with 78 points after 30 matches.
Baglan Dragons sit 14th with 25 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Trefelin to win with probability 66%.
Head-to-head history favors Trefelin, who have won 2 of the last 5 meetings. Baglan Dragons have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-02-17

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons - Prediction & Odds

Trefelin

Baglan Dragons

2026-02-17 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/02/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

06/09/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons

1 - 1

Trefelin

WAL FAWC

26/12/2024 08:30

Baglan Dragons

1 - 2

Trefelin

WAL FAWC

26/08/2024 09:30

Trefelin

2 - 0

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

24/02/2024 10:30

Trefelin

1 - 1

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

25/11/2023 10:00

Baglan Dragons

4 - 1

Trefelin

WAL FAWC

Trefelin

40%

Draw

40%

Baglan Dragons

20%

Trefelin Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 15:30

Carmarthen 0 - 2 Trefelin WAL FAWC

23/01/2026 15:30

Ammanford 0 - 4 Trefelin WAL FAWC

16/01/2026 15:30

Caerau Ely 1 - 2 Trefelin WAL FAWC

09/01/2026 15:30

Trefelin 3 - 1 Trey Thomas Drossel WAL FAWC

30/12/2025 15:30

Afan Lido 0 - 2 Trefelin WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 10:00

Trefelin 3 - 0 Caerau Ely WAL FAWC

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Baglan Dragons

14/02/2026 10:00

Cardiff Draconians FC 3 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

07/02/2026 10:00

Baglan Dragons 0 - 1 Aberystwyth Town WAL FAWC

24/01/2026 10:00

Ynyshir Albions 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

03/01/2026 10:15

Llantwit Major 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 10:00

Baglan Dragons 3 - 1 Afan Lido WAL FAWC

20/12/2025 10:00

Trey Thomas Drossel 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

204

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 176 matches

YesNo

112 (64%)64 (36%)

In last 176 matches

NoYes

45 (44%)57 (56%)

Trefelin

Recent matches

Baglan Dragons

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Trefelin

Baglan Dragons

Shots

Trefelin

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

9.20 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Trefelin Pass Baglan Dragons

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Trefelin

176

Played games

Baglan Dragons

102

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.24

3.45

607

Corners

324

3.18

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.26

Offsides

0.43

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Trefelin

DISCIPLINARY

Baglan Dragons

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

264

111

1.09

0.13

0.13

1.23

216

Fouls

170

1.67

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons on 17 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Trefelin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Baglan Dragons's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Trefelin and Baglan Dragons sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Wales FAW Championship Predictions

Find every upcoming Wales FAW Championship fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less