Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Tottenham Hotspur

L L L W L

5th place in English Premier League

2-1

11/05/2024 14:00

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Tottenham Hotspur are currently 5th with 66 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 24 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors Tottenham Hotspur, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-05-11

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Tottenham Hotspur

Burnley

2024-05-11 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

05/01/2024 20:00

Tottenham Hotspur

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG FAC

02/09/2023 14:00

Burnley

2 - 5

Tottenham Hotspur

ENG PR

15/05/2022 11:00

Tottenham Hotspur

1 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

23/02/2022 19:30

Burnley

1 - 0

Tottenham Hotspur

ENG PR

27/10/2021 18:45

Burnley

0 - 1

Tottenham Hotspur

ENG LC

28/02/2021 14:00

Tottenham Hotspur

4 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

Tottenham Hotspur

83%

Draw

Burnley

17%

Tottenham Hotspur Last 6 matches

02/05/2024 18:30

Chelsea 2 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

28/04/2024 13:00

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 3 Arsenal ENG PR

13/04/2024 11:30

Newcastle United 4 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

07/04/2024 17:00

Tottenham Hotspur 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

02/04/2024 19:15

West Ham United 1 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

30/03/2024 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 1 Luton Town ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Burnley

27/04/2024 14:00

Manchester United 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

20/04/2024 14:00

Sheffield United 1 - 4 Burnley ENG PR

13/04/2024 14:00

Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

06/04/2024 14:00

Everton 1 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

02/04/2024 18:45

Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

30/03/2024 15:00

Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

299

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

218

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

197

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

197

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

177 (59%)123 (41%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

142 (48%)153 (52%)

Tottenham Hotspur

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tottenham Hotspur

Burnley

Shots

Tottenham Hotspur

Total shots

13.11 avg / game

Blocked

949 total

Avg. 3.68

Burnley

Total shots

11.38 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Tottenham Hotspur Pass Burnley

Total passes

131804

Avg. 481 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tottenham Hotspur

300

Played games

Burnley

295

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.31

5.61

1683

Corners

1386

4.70

16.32

4897

Throw-ins

5108

17.32

1.66

497

Offsides

524

1.78

2.75

826

GK saves

820

2.78

Tottenham Hotspur

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.90

569

471

1.60

0.07

0.06

10.87

3260

Fouls

2875

9.75

14.17

4250

Tackles

3720

12.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tottenham Hotspur's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Tottenham Hotspur and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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