Tonga vs Samoa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 19 March

Prediction Match Centre

Tonga

No standing data

1 - 4

19/03/2024 18:00

Samoa

4th place in OFC Nations Cup

OFC Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tonga vs Samoa on 19 March 2024 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tonga vs Samoa preview before placing your bet.

Tonga will face Samoa in OFC Nations Cup on March 19, 2024 at 18:00.
Samoa sit 4th with 0 points from 3 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 19/03/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Fiji	9	3	3	0	0	15	2	13
02 Tahiti	4	3	1	1	1	3	2	1
03 Papua New Guinea	4	3	1	1	1	4	7	-3
04 Samoa	0	3	0	0	3	2	13	-11

Head To Head

11/07/2019 23:00

Samoa

2 - 0

Tonga

PACG

03/09/2015 17:00

Tonga

0 - 3

Samoa

WCPO

24/11/2011 20:30

Samoa

1 - 1

Tonga

WCPO

30/08/2007 00:30

Samoa

2 - 1

Tonga

WCPO

Samoa

50%

Draw

25%

Tonga

25%

Tonga Last 6 matches

29/11/2023 16:00

American Samoa 2 - 6 Tonga

PACG

26/11/2023 19:00

Tonga 0 - 4 Tuvalu

PACG

20/11/2023 22:00

Tonga 1 - 2 Cook Islands

PACG

17/11/2023 22:00

New Caledonia 7 - 0 Tonga

PACG

17/07/2019 13:00

Papua New Guinea 8 - 0 Tonga

PACG

14/07/2019 13:00

Tonga 0 - 14 Vanuatu

PACG

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Samoa

28/11/2023 12:00

Samoa 3 - 0 Cook Islands

PACG

26/11/2023 22:00

Tahiti 2 - 1 Samoa

PACG

19/11/2023 21:00

Samoa 10 - 0 American Samoa

PACG

16/11/2023 21:00

Solomon Islands 1 - 0 Samoa

PACG

17/07/2019 20:00

Vanuatu 11 - 0 Samoa

PACG

11/07/2019 23:00

Samoa 2 - 0 Tonga

PACG

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues OFC Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tonga

Samoa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (33%)2 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (80%)1 (20%)

Tonga

Recent matches

Samoa

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

Under /Over

(67%)2 1(33%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(60%)3 2(40%)

Under /Over

(33%)1 2(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)3 2(40%)

/Yes

(33%)1 2(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)3 2(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tonga

Samoa

Shots

Tonga

Total shots

— avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Samoa

Total shots

— avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tonga Pass Samoa

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tonga

Played games

Samoa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.20

0.00

Corners

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tonga

DISCIPLINARY

Samoa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.33

1.00

0.33

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Tonga vs Samoa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tonga vs Samoa on 19 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this OFC Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tonga vs Samoa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tonga's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samoa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

OFC Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live OFC Nations Cup standings and the OFC Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Tonga and Samoa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our OFC Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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