Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Toluca (W)

D D W D W

4th place in Apertura

1-1

16/02/2026 20:00

Pachuca (W)

W D W W W

2nd place in Apertura

Mexico Liga MX Femenil

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) on 16 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) preview before placing your bet.

Toluca (W) are currently 4th with 35 points after 17 matches.
Pachuca (W) sit 2nd with 42 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Pachuca (W) to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Toluca (W) and Pachuca (W) have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2026-02-16

Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) - Prediction & Odds

Toluca (W)

Pachuca (W)

2026-02-16 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tigres (W)	42	17	13	3	1	60	11	49
02 Pachuca (W)	42	17	13	3	1	60	20	40
03 Club America (W)	38	17	12	2	3	56	22	34
04 Toluca (W)	35	17	10	5	2	35	17	18
05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)	33	17	10	3	4	29	17	12
06 Monterrey (W)	32	17	10	2	5	38	24	14
07 Cruz Azul (W)	28	17	8	4	5	42	27	15
08 Juarez FC (W)	27	17	7	6	4	24	17	7
09 Leon (W)	27	17	8	3	6	32	33	-1
10 Saint Louis Athletica (W)	25	17	7	4	6	24	27	-3
11 Unam Pumas (W)	23	17	7	2	8	35	32	3
12 Atlas (W)	22	17	6	4	7	28	33	-5
13 Tijuana (W)	15	17	4	3	10	19	33	-14
14 Queretaro (W)	13	17	3	4	10	17	50	-33
15 Santos Laguna (W)	12	17	3	3	11	19	40	-21
16 Club Necaxa (W)	8	17	2	2	13	9	40	-31
17 Puebla (W)	6	17	1	3	13	8	43	-35
18 Mazatlan FC (W)	2	17	0	2	15	9	58	-49

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America (W)	42	17	13	3	1	44	13	31
02 Monterrey (W)	40	17	12	4	1	39	8	31
03 Tigres (W)	37	17	11	4	2	41	13	28
04 Pachuca (W)	36	17	11	3	3	46	15	31
05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)	34	17	9	7	1	27	13	14
06 Toluca (W)	33	17	10	3	4	38	26	12
07 Cruz Azul (W)	31	17	9	4	4	38	19	19
08 Juarez FC (W)	29	17	8	5	4	27	18	9
09 Tijuana (W)	28	17	8	4	5	31	23	8
10 Unam Pumas (W)	22	17	6	4	7	23	29	-6
11 Saint Louis Athletica (W)	21	17	6	3	8	20	32	-12
12 Mazatlan FC (W)	18	17	5	3	9	19	27	-8
13 Leon (W)	16	17	4	4	9	32	35	-3
14 Atlas (W)	12	17	3	3	11	22	40	-18
15 Puebla (W)	11	17	3	2	12	11	46	-35
16 Santos Laguna (W)	9	17	2	3	12	14	29	-15
17 Queretaro (W)	5	17	1	2	14	11	46	-35
18 Club Necaxa (W)	4	17	1	1	15	11	62	-51

Head To Head

04/08/2025 21:00

Pachuca (W)

1 - 2

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

20/03/2025 21:00

Pachuca (W)

2 - 3

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

30/09/2024 20:00

Toluca (W)

1 - 3

Pachuca (W)

Mex MFW

18/03/2024 21:00

Pachuca (W)

4 - 0

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

30/07/2023 14:00

Toluca (W)

2 - 1

Pachuca (W)

Mex MFW

16/01/2023 19:05

Pachuca (W)

10 - 2

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

Toluca (W)

50%

Draw

Pachuca (W)

50%

Toluca (W) Last 6 matches

09/02/2026 22:00

Monterrey (W) 2 - 0 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

04/02/2026 20:00

Toluca (W) 4 - 0 Saint Louis Athletica (W) Mex MFW

30/01/2026 20:00

Toluca (W) 3 - 2 Juarez FC (W) Mex MFW

26/01/2026 19:00

Queretaro (W) 1 - 4 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

21/01/2026 20:00

Toluca (W) 1 - 2 Tigres (W) Mex MFW

17/01/2026 13:00

Puebla (W) 0 - 1 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Pachuca (W)

10/02/2026 21:00

Saint Louis Athletica (W) 0 - 3 Pachuca (W) Mex MFW

06/02/2026 21:00

Pachuca (W) 3 - 0 Mazatlan FC (W) Mex MFW

01/02/2026 21:00

Pachuca (W) 2 - 2 Tigres (W) Mex MFW

26/01/2026 20:00

Club Necaxa (W) 0 - 6 Pachuca (W) Mex MFW

20/01/2026 21:00

Pachuca (W) 7 - 0 Puebla (W) Mex MFW

16/01/2026 17:45

Cruz Azul (W) 1 - 0 Pachuca (W) Mex MFW

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 208 matches

YesNo

118 (57%)90 (43%)

In last 208 matches

NoYes

154 (62%)93 (38%)

Toluca (W)

Recent matches

Pachuca (W)

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca (W)

Pachuca (W)

Shots

Toluca (W)

Total shots

9.64 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pachuca (W)

Total shots

12.11 avg / game

Blocked

20 total

Avg. 2.86

Toluca (W) Pass Pachuca (W)

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

3205

Avg. 458 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca (W)

208

Played games

Pachuca (W)

247

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.32

3.38

703

Corners

1118

4.53

0.00

Throw-ins

130

0.53

0.00

Offsides

0.10

0.08

GK saves

0.13

Toluca (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Pachuca (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.28

267

362

1.47

0.06

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.17

0.00

Tackles

105

0.43

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Saint Louis Athletica (W)

NEXT MATCHES

Chivas Guadalajara (W)

How We Build the Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) on 16 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Liga MX Femenil fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca (W) vs Pachuca (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pachuca (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Liga MX Femenil Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Liga MX Femenil standings and the Mexico Liga MX Femenil form table to understand exactly where Toluca (W) and Pachuca (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Liga MX Femenil predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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