Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – August 10

Toluca (W)

D D W D W

4th place in Apertura

1-0

10/08/2025 01:00

Leon (W)

W L W L L

9th place in Apertura

Mexico Liga MX Femenil

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) on August 10, 2025 (kick-off: 01:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) preview before placing for you.

Toluca (W) are currently 4th with 35 points after 17 matches.
Leon (W) sit 9th with 27 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca (W) to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca (W), who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Leon (W) have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:00

2025-08-10

Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) - Prediction & Odds

Toluca (W)

Leon (W)

2025-08-10 01:00

STANDINGS UP TO 10/08/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tigres (W)	42	17	13	3	1	60	11	49
02 Pachuca (W)	42	17	13	3	1	60	20	40
03 Club America (W)	38	17	12	2	3	56	22	34
04 Toluca (W)	35	17	10	5	2	35	17	18
05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)	33	17	10	3	4	29	17	12
06 Monterrey (W)	32	17	10	2	5	38	24	14
07 Cruz Azul (W)	28	17	8	4	5	42	27	15
08 Juarez FC (W)	27	17	7	6	4	24	17	7
09 Leon (W)	27	17	8	3	6	32	33	-1
10 Saint Louis Athletica (W)	25	17	7	4	6	24	27	-3
11 Unam Pumas (W)	23	17	7	2	8	35	32	3
12 Atlas (W)	22	17	6	4	7	28	33	-5
13 Tijuana (W)	15	17	4	3	10	19	33	-14
14 Queretaro (W)	13	17	3	4	10	17	50	-33
15 Santos Laguna (W)	12	17	3	3	11	19	40	-21
16 Club Necaxa (W)	8	17	2	2	13	9	40	-31
17 Puebla (W)	6	17	1	3	13	8	43	-35
18 Mazatlan FC (W)	2	17	0	2	15	9	58	-49

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America (W)	42	17	13	3	1	44	13	31
02 Monterrey (W)	40	17	12	4	1	39	8	31
03 Tigres (W)	37	17	11	4	2	41	13	28
04 Pachuca (W)	36	17	11	3	3	46	15	31
05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)	34	17	9	7	1	27	13	14
06 Toluca (W)	33	17	10	3	4	38	26	12
07 Cruz Azul (W)	31	17	9	4	4	38	19	19
08 Juarez FC (W)	29	17	8	5	4	27	18	9
09 Tijuana (W)	28	17	8	4	5	31	23	8
10 Unam Pumas (W)	22	17	6	4	7	23	29	-6
11 Saint Louis Athletica (W)	21	17	6	3	8	20	32	-12
12 Mazatlan FC (W)	18	17	5	3	9	19	27	-8
13 Leon (W)	16	17	4	4	9	32	35	-3
14 Atlas (W)	12	17	3	3	11	22	40	-18
15 Puebla (W)	11	17	3	2	12	11	46	-35
16 Santos Laguna (W)	9	17	2	3	12	14	29	-15
17 Queretaro (W)	5	17	1	2	14	11	46	-35
18 Club Necaxa (W)	4	17	1	1	15	11	62	-51

Head To Head

06/01/2025 01:00

Leon (W)

1 - 1

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

23/09/2024 23:00

Toluca (W)

2 - 0

Leon (W)

Mex MFW

23/03/2024 23:00

Toluca (W)

0 - 0

Leon (W)

Mex MFW

17/10/2023 01:05

Leon (W)

0 - 1

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

01/05/2023 23:00

Toluca (W)

2 - 0

Leon (W)

Mex MFW

24/10/2022 20:45

Leon (W)

1 - 2

Toluca (W)

Mex MFW

Toluca (W)

67%

Draw

33%

Leon (W)

Toluca (W) Last 6 matches

05/08/2025 01:00

Pachuca (W) 1 - 2 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

25/07/2025 03:00

Tijuana (W) 1 - 3 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

19/07/2025 23:00

Toluca (W) 1 - 0 Santos Laguna (W) Mex MFW

14/07/2025 01:00

Tigres (W) 1 - 1 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

18/04/2025 23:00

Toluca (W) 4 - 3 Club America (W) Mex MFW

13/04/2025 18:00

Puebla (W) 1 - 3 Toluca (W) Mex MFW

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Leon (W)

01/08/2025 23:00

Club Necaxa (W) 1 - 1 Leon (W) Mex MFW

27/07/2025 23:00

Leon (W) 0 - 3 Club America (W) Mex MFW

20/07/2025 03:00

Mazatlan FC (W) 1 - 3 Leon (W) Mex MFW

12/07/2025 23:00

Leon (W) 1 - 1 Tijuana (W) Mex MFW

19/04/2025 02:10

Monterrey (W) 2 - 0 Leon (W) Mex MFW

15/04/2025 01:00

Leon (W) 3 - 1 Santos Laguna (W) Mex MFW

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

106

Avg. per game

1.02

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 104 home matches

YesNo

64 (62%)40 (38%)

In last 104 home matches

NoYes

56 (56%)44 (44%)

Toluca (W)

Recent matches

Leon (W)

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca (W)

Leon (W)

Shots

Toluca (W)

Total shots

11.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leon (W)

Total shots

7.61 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Toluca (W) Pass Leon (W)

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca (W)

104

Played games

Leon (W)

100

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.23

3.62

376

Corners

404

4.04

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.07

GK saves

0.06

Toluca (W)

DISCIPLINARY

Leon (W)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.07

111

126

1.26

0.03

0.06

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) on 10 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Liga MX Femenil fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca (W) vs Leon (W) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca (W)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leon (W)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Liga MX Femenil Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Liga MX Femenil standings and the Mexico Liga MX Femenil form table to understand exactly where Toluca (W) and Leon (W) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Liga MX Femenil predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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