Toluca vs Puebla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 October

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

5-0

22/10/2024 23:05

Puebla

L L D L L

17th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Puebla on 22 October 2024 (kick-off: 23:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Puebla preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Puebla sit 17th with 9 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Toluca and Puebla have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:05

2024-10-22

Toluca vs Puebla - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Puebla

2024-10-22 23:05

STANDINGS UP TO 22/10/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

26/01/2024 21:00

Puebla

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

31/10/2023 21:00

Toluca

0 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

02/08/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

03/04/2022 13:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

05/11/2021 21:00

Puebla

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

33%

Draw

33%

Puebla

33%

Toluca Last 6 matches

18/10/2024 21:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

05/10/2024 21:00

Toluca 1 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

28/09/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

22/09/2024 21:05

Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

17/09/2024 21:00

Pachuca 2 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

14/09/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Puebla

18/10/2024 23:05

Puebla 1 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

05/10/2024 19:00

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

27/09/2024 20:00

Puebla 2 - 3 FC Juarez MEX D1

20/09/2024 21:00

Puebla 2 - 3 Pachuca MEX D1

17/09/2024 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

13/09/2024 20:00

Puebla 2 - 1 Queretaro FC MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Puebla

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 21 home matches

YesNo

15 (71%)6 (29%)

In last 21 home matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Puebla

Under /Over

(95%)20 1(5%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(52%)11 10(48%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

/Yes

(57%)12 9(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Puebla

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.70

Puebla

Total shots

14.00 avg / game

Blocked

37 total

Avg. 3.70

Toluca Pass Puebla

Total passes

8348

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

5481

Avg. 322 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

41%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Puebla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.24

3.81

Corners

4.47

13.52

284

Throw-ins

295

17.35

0.95

Offsides

1.94

1.90

GK saves

2.88

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Puebla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

2.24

0.10

0.12

8.76

184

Fouls

210

12.35

12.33

259

Tackles

259

15.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Puebla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Puebla on 22 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Puebla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Puebla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Puebla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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