Toluca vs Pachuca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 March

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

3-2

29/03/2025 19:00

Pachuca

W L W W D

8th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca on 29 March 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Pachuca preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Pachuca sit 8th with 28 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Pachuca have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-03-29

Toluca vs Pachuca - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Pachuca

2025-03-29 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/03/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

17/09/2024 21:00

Pachuca

2 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/03/2024 21:00

Pachuca

2 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

03/09/2023 14:00

Toluca

5 - 0

Pachuca

MEX D1

19/02/2023 23:05

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/10/2022 21:35

Pachuca

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

27/10/2022 21:05

Toluca

1 - 5

Pachuca

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

17%

Pachuca

33%

Toluca Last 6 matches

14/03/2025 23:00

Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

08/03/2025 19:00

Toluca 5 - 2 Necaxa MEX D1

01/03/2025 19:00

Club America 3 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

26/02/2025 23:00

Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro FC MEX D1

22/02/2025 19:00

FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca MEX D1

15/02/2025 23:10

Toluca 2 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Pachuca

22/03/2025 20:30

El Salvador 1 - 1 Pachuca INT FRL

16/03/2025 22:00

Pachuca 4 - 1 Club Tijuana MEX D1

08/03/2025 21:00

Pachuca 1 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

01/03/2025 19:00

FC Juarez 2 - 2 Pachuca MEX D1

26/02/2025 21:00

Pachuca 2 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

22/02/2025 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 1 Pachuca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

187

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 277 matches

YesNo

158 (57%)119 (43%)

In last 277 matches

NoYes

129 (46%)153 (54%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Pachuca

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Pachuca

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Pachuca

Total shots

13.15 avg / game

Blocked

513 total

Avg. 3.49

Toluca Pass Pachuca

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

76965

Avg. 365 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

277

Played games

Pachuca

282

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.26

4.21

1167

Corners

1311

4.65

7.53

2086

Throw-ins

1974

7.00

1.31

363

Offsides

410

1.45

2.44

677

GK saves

643

2.28

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Pachuca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

512

516

1.83

0.10

0.13

9.91

2745

Fouls

2877

10.20

10.00

2769

Tackles

2816

9.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca on 29 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Pachuca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pachuca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Pachuca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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