Toluca vs Pachuca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 September

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

5-0

03/09/2023 14:00

Pachuca

L L W L W

7th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca on 03 September 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Pachuca preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 3rd with 32 points after 17 matches.
Pachuca sit 7th with 29 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Pachuca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-09-03

Toluca vs Pachuca - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Pachuca

2023-09-03 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/09/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

19/02/2023 23:05

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/10/2022 21:35

Pachuca

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

27/10/2022 21:05

Toluca

1 - 5

Pachuca

MEX D1

28/08/2022 13:00

Toluca

1 - 4

Pachuca

MEX D1

13/03/2022 14:00

Toluca

0 - 3

Pachuca

MEX D1

13/09/2021 22:00

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

33%

Draw

Pachuca

67%

Toluca Last 6 matches

26/08/2023 19:00

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

18/08/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

08/08/2023 20:10

Toluca 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC NCAL Cup

04/08/2023 21:10

Toluca 4 - 1 FC Kansas City NCAL Cup

31/07/2023 23:40

Toluca 4 - 1 Colorado Rapids NCAL Cup

27/07/2023 20:40

Nashville 3 - 4 Toluca NCAL Cup

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Pachuca

23/08/2023 21:05

Pachuca 1 - 0 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

20/08/2023 21:00

Queretaro FC 1 - 1 Pachuca MEX D1

02/08/2023 21:00

Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Pachuca NCAL Cup

23/07/2023 19:10

Pachuca 1 - 1 Real Oviedo INT CF

16/07/2023 22:15

Pachuca 1 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

10/07/2023 22:30

Club Leon 4 - 0 Pachuca MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

260

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 277 matches

YesNo

164 (59%)113 (41%)

In last 277 matches

NoYes

150 (53%)132 (47%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Pachuca

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Pachuca

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Pachuca

Total shots

13.15 avg / game

Blocked

513 total

Avg. 3.49

Toluca Pass Pachuca

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

76965

Avg. 365 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

277

Played games

Pachuca

282

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.26

4.21

1167

Corners

1311

4.65

7.53

2086

Throw-ins

1974

7.00

1.31

363

Offsides

410

1.45

2.44

677

GK saves

643

2.28

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Pachuca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

512

516

1.83

0.10

0.13

9.91

2745

Fouls

2877

10.20

10.00

2769

Tackles

2816

9.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca on 03 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Pachuca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pachuca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Pachuca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Mexico Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Mexico fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less