Toluca vs Necaxa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 08 March

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

5-2

08/03/2025 16:00

Necaxa

W W W L D

5th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 08 March 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Necaxa preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Necaxa sit 5th with 31 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Necaxa have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-03-08

Toluca vs Necaxa - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Necaxa

2025-03-08 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 08/03/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

27/10/2024 17:00

Necaxa

1 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

10/02/2024 16:00

Necaxa

3 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

02/07/2023 11:00

Toluca

0 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

30/04/2023 11:00

Toluca

3 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

26/12/2022 18:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Necaxa

MGNP

02/07/2022 15:00

Necaxa

1 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

67%

Draw

33%

Necaxa

Toluca Last 6 matches

01/03/2025 16:00

Club America 3 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

26/02/2025 20:00

Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro FC MEX D1

22/02/2025 16:00

FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca MEX D1

15/02/2025 20:10

Toluca 2 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

08/02/2025 18:00

Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

01/02/2025 20:15

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Necaxa

01/03/2025 18:00

Necaxa 1 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

21/02/2025 18:00

Necaxa 3 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

18/02/2025 20:10

Atlas 0 - 4 Necaxa MEX D1

14/02/2025 20:00

Club America 2 - 3 Necaxa MEX D1

07/02/2025 18:00

Necaxa 3 - 2 Santos Laguna MEX D1

01/02/2025 18:05

Monterrey 1 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

117

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 277 matches

YesNo

158 (57%)119 (43%)

In last 277 matches

NoYes

91 (37%)153 (63%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Necaxa

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Necaxa

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Necaxa

Total shots

11.60 avg / game

Blocked

326 total

Avg. 2.76

Toluca Pass Necaxa

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

57803

Avg. 318 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

277

Played games

Necaxa

244

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.22

4.21

1167

Corners

904

3.70

7.53

2086

Throw-ins

1721

7.05

1.31

363

Offsides

268

1.10

2.44

677

GK saves

567

2.32

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

512

452

1.85

0.10

0.11

9.91

2745

Fouls

2666

10.93

10.00

2769

Tackles

2390

9.80

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 08 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Necaxa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Necaxa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Necaxa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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