Toluca vs Monterrey: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 September

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

6-2

24/09/2025 22:20

Monterrey

D D W L D

5th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey on 24 September 2025 (kick-off: 22:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Monterrey preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Monterrey sit 5th with 31 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Monterrey have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:20

2025-09-24

Toluca vs Monterrey - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Monterrey

2025-09-24 22:20

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

10/05/2025 21:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

07/05/2025 21:00

Monterrey

3 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

18/01/2025 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

31/08/2024 21:00

Monterrey

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

18/02/2024 22:10

Monterrey

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

30/08/2023 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Monterrey

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

33%

Monterrey

17%

Toluca Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

13/09/2025 23:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

29/08/2025 21:00

Atletico San Luis 1 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

23/08/2025 23:50

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

20/08/2025 21:00

Toluca 0 - 0 Orlando City NCAL Cup

16/08/2025 23:10

Toluca 1 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Monterrey

20/09/2025 23:00

Monterrey 2 - 2 Club America MEX D1

14/09/2025 19:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 1 Monterrey MEX D1

29/08/2025 23:10

Puebla 2 - 4 Monterrey MEX D1

23/08/2025 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

17/08/2025 20:00

Monterrey 3 - 2 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

11/08/2025 21:00

Club Leon 1 - 3 Monterrey MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

234

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

130

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 278 matches

YesNo

159 (57%)119 (43%)

In last 278 matches

NoYes

164 (55%)135 (45%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Monterrey

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Monterrey

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Monterrey

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.10

Toluca Pass Monterrey

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

96480

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

278

Played games

Monterrey

299

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.31

4.22

1173

Corners

1326

4.43

7.56

2102

Throw-ins

2068

6.92

1.31

364

Offsides

391

1.31

2.44

678

GK saves

721

2.41

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Monterrey

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

513

518

1.73

0.10

0.12

9.93

2760

Fouls

3063

10.24

9.99

2778

Tackles

3020

10.10

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey on 24 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Monterrey Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Monterrey's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Monterrey sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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