Toluca vs Monterrey: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 August

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

1-0

30/08/2023 21:00

Monterrey

W L L D L

4th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey on 30 August 2023 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Monterrey preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 3rd with 32 points after 17 matches.
Monterrey sit 4th with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Monterrey, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2023-08-30

Toluca vs Monterrey - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Monterrey

2023-08-30 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/08/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

05/02/2023 21:10

Monterrey

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/08/2022 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

06/04/2022 20:00

Toluca

2 - 2

Monterrey

MEX D1

22/09/2021 20:05

Monterrey

2 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

11/04/2021 13:00

Toluca

1 - 2

Monterrey

MEX D1

28/07/2020 20:00

Monterrey

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

Draw

33%

Monterrey

67%

Toluca Last 6 matches

26/08/2023 19:00

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

18/08/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

08/08/2023 20:10

Toluca 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC NCAL Cup

04/08/2023 21:10

Toluca 4 - 1 FC Kansas City NCAL Cup

31/07/2023 23:40

Toluca 4 - 1 Colorado Rapids NCAL Cup

27/07/2023 20:40

Nashville 3 - 4 Toluca NCAL Cup

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Monterrey

27/08/2023 22:10

Monterrey 1 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

19/08/2023 18:10

Philadelphia Union 3 - 0 Monterrey NCAL Cup

15/08/2023 21:40

Monterrey 0 - 2 Nashville NCAL Cup

11/08/2023 23:00

Los Angeles FC 2 - 3 Monterrey NCAL Cup

08/08/2023 22:10

Tigres UANL 0 - 1 Monterrey NCAL Cup

04/08/2023 22:00

Monterrey 1 - 0 Portland Timbers NCAL Cup

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

234

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

130

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 278 matches

YesNo

159 (57%)119 (43%)

In last 278 matches

NoYes

164 (55%)135 (45%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Monterrey

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Monterrey

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Monterrey

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.10

Toluca Pass Monterrey

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

96480

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

278

Played games

Monterrey

299

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.31

4.22

1173

Corners

1326

4.43

7.56

2102

Throw-ins

2068

6.92

1.31

364

Offsides

391

1.31

2.44

678

GK saves

721

2.41

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Monterrey

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

513

518

1.73

0.10

0.12

9.93

2760

Fouls

3063

10.24

9.99

2778

Tackles

3020

10.10

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey on 30 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Monterrey Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Monterrey's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Monterrey sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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