Thun vs Lugano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 November

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

0-1

22/11/2025 19:30

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 22 November 2025 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Thun vs Lugano preview before placing your bet.

Thun are currently 1st with 74 points after 33 matches.
Lugano sit 3rd with 57 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Thun, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Lugano have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2025-11-22

Thun vs Lugano - Prediction & Odds

Thun

Lugano

2025-11-22 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/11/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

27/07/2025 14:00

Lugano

1 - 2

Thun

SUI SL

11/07/2025 12:00

Lugano

2 - 3

Thun

INT CF

10/02/2022 17:30

Thun

3 - 4

Lugano

SUI Cup

15/07/2020 18:30

Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

SUI SL

09/02/2020 15:00

Thun

3 - 2

Lugano

SUI SL

24/11/2019 15:00

Thun

0 - 3

Lugano

SUI SL

Thun

50%

Draw

17%

Lugano

33%

Thun Last 6 matches

08/11/2025 19:30

Servette 0 - 1 Thun SUI SL

01/11/2025 17:00

Thun 2 - 1 FC Sion SUI SL

28/10/2025 19:30

Thun 3 - 0 Winterthur SUI SL

25/10/2025 16:00

FC Sion 0 - 1 Thun SUI SL

18/10/2025 16:00

Thun 3 - 1 Servette SUI SL

09/10/2025 10:30

Thun 6 - 0 Etoile Carouge INT CF

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Lugano

12/11/2025 18:00

Locarno 1 - 4 Lugano INT CF

09/11/2025 13:00

Basel 0 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

30/10/2025 19:30

Lugano 2 - 0 Luzern SUI SL

26/10/2025 15:30

Servette 2 - 1 Lugano SUI SL

18/10/2025 18:30

Lugano 1 - 0 FC Zurich SUI SL

05/10/2025 14:30

Winterthur 2 - 4 Lugano SUI SL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

129

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

128

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

100

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 153 home matches

YesNo

87 (57%)66 (43%)

In last 153 home matches

NoYes

88 (54%)75 (46%)

Thun

Recent matches

Lugano

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Thun

Lugano

Shots

Thun

Total shots

13.42 avg / game

Blocked

101 total

Avg. 4.59

Lugano

Total shots

12.60 avg / game

Blocked

245 total

Avg. 3.55

Thun Pass Lugano

Total passes

11621

Avg. 323 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

49758

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Thun

153

Played games

Lugano

163

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

5.08

777

Corners

684

4.20

5.08

777

Throw-ins

1105

6.78

1.55

237

Offsides

259

1.59

1.92

294

GK saves

376

2.31

Thun

DISCIPLINARY

Lugano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

275

333

2.04

0.04

0.07

9.78

1496

Fouls

1491

9.15

2.54

389

Tackles

1354

8.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Thun vs Lugano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 22 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Thun vs Lugano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Thun's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lugano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Thun and Lugano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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