Thun vs Aarau: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 May

Thun

W W W D L

1st place in Swiss Challenge League

2-1

02/05/2025 14:15

Aarau

D D L L W

2nd place in Swiss Challenge League

Swiss Challenge League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Thun vs Aarau on 02 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Thun vs Aarau preview before placing your bet.

Thun are currently 1st with 72 points after 36 matches.
Aarau sit 2nd with 61 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Aarau, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Thun have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:15

2025-05-02

Thun vs Aarau - Prediction & Odds

Thun

Aarau

2025-05-02 14:15

STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	72	36	21	9	6	70	39	31
02 Aarau	61	36	16	13	7	63	45	18
03 Etoile Carouge	54	36	15	9	12	58	47	11
04 Stade Ouchy	53	36	14	11	11	54	43	11
05 Vaduz	51	36	13	12	11	48	49	-1
06 FC Wil 1900	50	36	13	11	12	58	57	1
07 Bellinzona	47	36	12	11	13	48	57	-9
08 Neuchatel Xamax	41	36	12	5	19	57	65	-8
09 Stade Nyonnais	36	36	10	6	20	44	69	-25
10 Schaffhausen	28	36	7	7	22	40	69	-29

Head To Head

14/02/2025 15:15

Aarau

1 - 0

Thun

SUI CL

30/11/2024 13:00

Thun

1 - 1

Aarau

SUI CL

19/07/2024 14:15

Aarau

1 - 3

Thun

SUI CL

19/04/2024 14:15

Aarau

3 - 0

Thun

SUI CL

16/02/2024 15:15

Thun

1 - 0

Aarau

SUI CL

03/11/2023 15:15

Aarau

5 - 2

Thun

SUI CL

Thun

33%

Draw

17%

Aarau

50%

Thun Last 6 matches

25/04/2025 14:15

Neuchatel Xamax 0 - 2 Thun SUI CL

21/04/2025 10:30

Thun 7 - 0 FC Wil 1900 SUI CL

11/04/2025 13:30

Stade Nyonnais 0 - 2 Thun SUI CL

04/04/2025 14:15

Thun 3 - 0 Schaffhausen SUI CL

31/03/2025 14:15

Stade Ouchy 3 - 0 Thun SUI CL

28/03/2025 15:15

Thun 2 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax SUI CL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Aarau

25/04/2025 13:30

Schaffhausen 1 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

18/04/2025 14:15

Aarau 2 - 2 Vaduz SUI CL

11/04/2025 14:15

Neuchatel Xamax 1 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

04/04/2025 14:15

Aarau 2 - 2 Stade Ouchy SUI CL

31/03/2025 13:30

Bellinzona 1 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

28/03/2025 15:15

Aarau 2 - 2 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

237

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

237

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 288 matches

YesNo

159 (55%)129 (45%)

In last 288 matches

NoYes

160 (57%)120 (43%)

Thun

Recent matches

Aarau

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Thun

Aarau

Shots

Thun

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

213 total

Avg. 4.73

Aarau

Total shots

12.08 avg / game

Blocked

173 total

Avg. 4.55

Thun Pass Aarau

Total passes

23346

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

27834

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Thun

288

Played games

Aarau

280

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.28

4.90

1412

Corners

1399

5.00

5.53

1594

Throw-ins

1572

5.61

1.83

528

Offsides

445

1.59

2.17

624

GK saves

664

2.37

Thun

DISCIPLINARY

Aarau

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.93

557

529

1.89

0.06

0.06

10.74

3093

Fouls

2816

10.06

2.79

803

Tackles

1056

3.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Thun vs Aarau Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Thun vs Aarau on 02 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Thun vs Aarau Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Thun's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aarau's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Thun and Aarau sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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