Thun vs Aarau: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Thun
WDWWW
2nd place in Swiss Challenge League
1
1-0
FT
16/02/2024 15:15
Aarau
WLLLL
6th place in Swiss Challenge League
Swiss Challenge League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Thun vs Aarau on 16 February 2024 (kick-off: 15:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Thun vs Aarau preview before placing your bet.

  • Thun are currently 2nd with 76 points after 36 matches.
  • Aarau sit 6th with 43 points from 36 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Thun to win with probability 51%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Aarau, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Thun have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:15

2024-02-16

Thun vs Aarau - Prediction & Odds

Thun
Thun
Aarau
Aarau
2024-02-16 15:15
51
24
25
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.76
FT
1-0 0-0
-
weather
10℃～11℃
STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Sion FC Sion
79 36 23 10 3 72 23 49
02 Thun Thun
76 36 23 7 6 73 38 35
03 Vaduz Vaduz
49 36 13 10 13 67 55 12
04 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax
49 36 11 16 9 55 45 10
05 FC Wil 1900 FC Wil 1900
44 36 11 11 14 48 52 -4
06 Aarau Aarau
43 36 12 7 17 51 59 -8
07 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
43 36 11 10 15 45 58 -13
08 Bellinzona Bellinzona
42 36 11 9 16 39 50 -11
09 Schaffhausen Schaffhausen
38 36 8 14 14 36 55 -19
10 Baden Baden
26 36 6 8 22 31 82 -51
Head To Head
03/11/2023 15:15
Aarau Aarau
5 - 2
Thun Thun
SUI CL
22/09/2023 14:15
Thun Thun
2 - 0
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
14/04/2023 14:15
Thun Thun
2 - 3
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
28/01/2023 13:00
Aarau Aarau
1 - 0
Thun Thun
SUI CL
07/10/2022 14:15
Aarau Aarau
2 - 2
Thun Thun
SUI CL
05/08/2022 14:15
Thun Thun
2 - 2
Aarau Aarau
SUI CL
Thun
1
17%
Draw
2
33%
Aarau
3
50%
Thun Thun Last 6 matches
09/02/2024 15:15
Schaffhausen 1 - 1 Thun SUI CL
02/02/2024 15:15
Thun 4 - 1 Stade Nyonnais SUI CL
27/01/2024 13:00
Bellinzona 0 - 0 Thun SUI CL
20/01/2024 09:30
Thun 5 - 3 Biel Bienne INT CF
20/01/2024 07:00
Thun 4 - 0 Vevey Sports INT CF
13/01/2024 09:00
Thun 0 - 0 Grasshopper INT CF
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Aarau Aarau
10/02/2024 13:00
Aarau 5 - 2 Stade Nyonnais SUI CL
02/02/2024 15:15
FC Sion 2 - 0 Aarau SUI CL
30/01/2024 15:15
Baden 1 - 2 Aarau SUI CL
26/01/2024 14:30
Aarau 1 - 0 Vaduz SUI CL
16/01/2024 09:00
Zurich B team 4 - 2 Aarau INT CF
10/01/2024 10:00
Basel 2 - 3 Aarau INT CF
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Thun
Thun
288
 Aarau
Aarau
280
Goals
Scored
237
Avg. per game
0.82
Conceded
165
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored
237
Avg. per game
0.85
Conceded
194
Avg. per game
0.69
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 288 matches
YesNo
159 (55%)129 (45%)
In last 288 matches
NoYes
160 (57%)120 (43%)
Thun

Thun

Recent matches

Aarau

Aarau

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Thun Thun
Aarau Aarau
Shots
Thun
Thun
Total shots
12.77 avg / game
Blocked
213 total
Avg. 4.73
Aarau
Aarau
Total shots
12.08 avg / game
Blocked
173 total
Avg. 4.55
Thun Thun Pass Aarau Aarau
Total passes
23346
Avg. 329 / game
Accurate
74%
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
27834
Avg. 392 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
53%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Thun
Thun
24450
Avg. 84.90 / game
 Aarau
Aarau
26087
Avg. 93.17 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Thun
Thun
15876
Avg. 55.13 / game
 Aarau
Aarau
15339
Avg. 54.78 / game
OTHERS
Thun
Thun
288
Played games
Aarau
Aarau
280
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.25
73
Clean sheets
79
0.28
4.90
1412
Corners
1399
5.00
5.53
1594
Throw-ins
1572
5.61
1.83
528
Offsides
445
1.59
2.17
624
GK saves
664
2.37
Thun
Thun
DISCIPLINARY
Aarau
Aarau
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.93
557
Yellow card
529
1.89
0.06
16
Red card
17
0.06
10.74
3093
Fouls
2816
10.06
2.79
803
Tackles
1056
3.77
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How We Build the Thun vs Aarau Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Thun vs Aarau on 16 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Thun vs Aarau Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Thun's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aarau's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Thun and Aarau sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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