The New Saints vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

The New Saints

L W W W W

1st place in League

2-0

11/03/2025 15:45

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 11 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full The New Saints vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

The New Saints are currently 1st with 51 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: The New Saints to win with probability 81%.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-03-11

The New Saints vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

The New Saints

Caernarfon

2025-03-11 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

26/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon

2 - 5

The New Saints

Welsh PR

09/10/2024 14:45

The New Saints

1 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/06/2024 14:30

The New Saints

7 - 0

Caernarfon

INT CF

05/04/2024 14:45

The New Saints

7 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

23/02/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 8

The New Saints

Welsh PR

The New Saints

83%

Draw

Caernarfon

17%

The New Saints Last 6 matches

08/03/2025 08:15

The New Saints 5 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

28/02/2025 15:45

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 1 The New Saints WAL CLC

21/02/2025 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 0 - 2 The New Saints Welsh PR

15/02/2025 10:00

The New Saints 5 - 0 Airbus UK Broughton WALC

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

08/02/2025 08:15

The New Saints 4 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

08/03/2025 10:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 4 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

22/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

11/02/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

08/02/2025 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

31/01/2025 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

14/01/2025 15:45

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

455

Avg. per game

1.52

Conceded

133

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

210 (70%)90 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

146 (61%)95 (39%)

The New Saints

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Shots

The New Saints

Total shots

15.07 avg / game

Blocked

26 total

Avg. 2.36

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

The New Saints Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

2803

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

The New Saints

300

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

129

Clean sheets

0.24

6.20

1861

Corners

1044

4.33

0.46

139

Throw-ins

0.12

0.14

Offsides

0.12

0.90

269

GK saves

379

1.57

The New Saints

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

393

430

1.78

0.05

0.12

1.32

397

Fouls

110

0.46

0.43

130

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 11 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess The New Saints's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where The New Saints and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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