The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 26

The New Saints

W W W W W

1st place in League

2-1

26/12/2023 10:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on December 26, 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full The New Saints vs Caernarfon preview before placing for you.

The New Saints are currently 1st with 62 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: The New Saints to win with probability 86%.
Head-to-head history favors The New Saints, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2023-12-26

The New Saints vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

The New Saints

Caernarfon

2023-12-26 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/12/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

26/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

1 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

03/01/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

The New Saints

Welsh PR

11/11/2022 15:45

The New Saints

2 - 1

Caernarfon

WALC

25/10/2022 14:45

The New Saints

3 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

23/04/2022 07:45

The New Saints

3 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

01/04/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

0 - 3

The New Saints

Welsh PR

The New Saints

100%

Draw

Caernarfon

The New Saints Last 6 matches

23/12/2023 10:30

Haverfordwest County 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

16/12/2023 10:30

The New Saints 3 - 0 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

09/12/2023 10:00

Carmarthen 0 - 3 The New Saints WALC

28/11/2023 16:00

Aberystwyth Town 1 - 3 The New Saints Welsh PR

18/11/2023 10:30

The New Saints 4 - 1 Arbroath SCO BC

11/11/2023 10:00

The New Saints 7 - 0 Trey Thomas Drossel WALC

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

16/12/2023 10:30

Caernarfon 0 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

02/12/2023 10:30

Pontypridd 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

28/11/2023 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

19/11/2023 10:30

Caernarfon 2 - 3 Barry Town United Welsh PR

04/11/2023 10:30

Caernarfon 2 - 4 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

27/10/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 6 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

455

Avg. per game

1.52

Conceded

133

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

210 (70%)90 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

146 (61%)95 (39%)

The New Saints

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

The New Saints

Caernarfon

Shots

The New Saints

Total shots

15.07 avg / game

Blocked

26 total

Avg. 2.36

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

The New Saints Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

2803

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

The New Saints

300

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

129

Clean sheets

0.24

6.20

1861

Corners

1044

4.33

0.46

139

Throw-ins

0.12

0.14

Offsides

0.12

0.90

269

GK saves

379

1.57

The New Saints

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

393

430

1.78

0.05

0.12

1.32

397

Fouls

110

0.46

0.43

130

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Briton Ferry Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the The New Saints vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon on 26 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess The New Saints's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where The New Saints and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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