Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Termez Surkhon

LLWLD

10th place in Uzbek League

1-1

Pakhtakor
Win Probability 51%

03/05/2026 10:15

Pakhtakor

WWWDD

2nd place in Uzbek League

Uzbek League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor on 03 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor preview before placing your bet.

Termez Surkhon will face Pakhtakor in Uzbek League on May 3, 2026 at 10:15.
Termez Surkhon are currently 10th with 15 points after 12 matches.
Pakhtakor sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.78.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:15

2026-05-03

Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor - Prediction & Odds

Termez Surkhon

Pakhtakor

2026-05-03 10:15

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Neftchi Fargona	31	12	10	1	1	27	4	23
02 Pakhtakor	27	12	8	3	1	23	13	10
03 Navbahor Namangan	20	12	6	2	4	16	11	5
04 Buxoro FK	20	12	6	2	4	16	13	3
05 OTMK Olmaliq	19	12	5	4	3	17	16	1
06 Kuruvchi Bunyodkor	19	12	6	1	5	14	14	0
07 Lokomotiv Tashkent	18	12	5	3	4	15	15	0
08 Nasaf Qarshi	17	12	4	5	3	15	12	3
09 FK Andijon	16	12	5	1	6	17	13	4
10 Termez Surkhon	15	12	4	3	5	13	19	-6
11 Dinamo Samarqand	14	12	4	2	6	19	22	-3
12 Xorazm Urganch	13	12	3	4	5	9	15	-6
13 Qizilqum Zarafshon	13	12	4	1	7	9	17	-8
14 Sogdiana Jizak	12	12	3	3	6	21	25	-4
15 Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon	11	12	2	5	5	10	16	-6
16 Mashal Muborak	3	12	1	0	11	5	21	-16

Head To Head

29/09/2025 10:00

Pakhtakor

1 - 0

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

03/05/2025 11:15

Termez Surkhon

2 - 1

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

22/08/2024 10:00

Pakhtakor

0 - 1

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

04/03/2024 09:30

Termez Surkhon

0 - 3

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

24/11/2023 09:15

Termez Surkhon

1 - 2

Pakhtakor

UZB D1

29/05/2023 11:00

Pakhtakor

1 - 0

Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

Pakhtakor

50%

Draw

Termez Surkhon

50%

Termez Surkhon Last 6 matches

22/04/2026 09:00

Termez Surkhon 2 - 1 Mashal Muborak

UZB D1

17/04/2026 11:15

Termez Surkhon 0 - 1 Qizilqum Zarafshon

UZB D1

12/04/2026 07:00

Navbahor Namangan 2 - 0 Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

08/04/2026 10:00

OTMK Olmaliq 1 - 1 Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

04/04/2026 10:15

Termez Surkhon 3 - 1 Buxoro FK

UZB D1

20/03/2026 07:40

Nasaf Qarshi 0 - 1 Termez Surkhon

UZB D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Pakhtakor

22/04/2026 11:15

Buxoro FK 0 - 1 Pakhtakor

UZB D1

18/04/2026 11:15

Pakhtakor 4 - 2 Dinamo Samarqand

UZB D1

13/04/2026 10:00

Pakhtakor 2 - 1 Mashal Muborak

UZB D1

09/04/2026 10:00

Neftchi Fargona 0 - 1 Pakhtakor

UZB D1

04/04/2026 08:00

Pakhtakor 3 - 1 OTMK Olmaliq

UZB D1

20/03/2026 09:15

Sogdiana Jizak 2 - 4 Pakhtakor

UZB D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uzbek League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Termez Surkhon

Pakhtakor

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.89

Scored

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 9 home matches

YesNo

4 (44%)5 (56%)

In last 9 home matches

NoYes

9 (64%)5 (36%)

Termez Surkhon

Recent matches

Pakhtakor

Under /Over

(78%)7 2(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)13 1(7%)

Under /Over

(22%)2 7(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

Under /Over

(44%)4 5(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)9 5(36%)

/Yes

(56%)5 4(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)9 5(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Termez Surkhon

Pakhtakor

Shots

Termez Surkhon

Total shots

11.57 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pakhtakor

Total shots

12.56 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Termez Surkhon Pass Pakhtakor

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Termez Surkhon

Played games

Pakhtakor

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.29

3.67

Corners

3.79

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Termez Surkhon

DISCIPLINARY

Pakhtakor

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.11

0.43

0.00

0.00

1.22

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Kuruvchi Kokand Qoqon

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor on 03 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uzbek League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Termez Surkhon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pakhtakor's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uzbek League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uzbek League standings and the Uzbek League form table to understand exactly where Termez Surkhon and Pakhtakor sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uzbek League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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