Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 October

Tepatitlan de Morelos

D W L L D

8th place in Apertura

1-2

17/10/2025 21:00

Cancun

W D W W D

2nd place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun on 17 October 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun preview before placing your bet.

Tepatitlan de Morelos are currently 8th with 18 points after 14 matches.
Cancun sit 2nd with 30 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tepatitlan de Morelos to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Tepatitlan de Morelos, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Cancun have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-10-17

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun - Prediction & Odds

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Cancun

2025-10-17 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/10/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

17/01/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 1

Cancun

MEX D2

03/08/2024 19:00

Cancun

2 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

19/03/2024 19:05

Cancun

2 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

30/08/2023 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

3 - 0

Cancun

MEX D2

21/03/2023 19:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1 - 0

Cancun

MEX D2

11/10/2022 20:05

Cancun

1 - 2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

Tepatitlan de Morelos

50%

Draw

17%

Cancun

33%

Tepatitlan de Morelos Last 6 matches

10/10/2025 22:00

Venados FC 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

03/10/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 - 2 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

26/09/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

19/09/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 2 Tlaxcala MEX D2

14/09/2025 20:00

Irapuato 0 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

07/09/2025 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Cancun

10/10/2025 21:00

Cancun 0 - 0 Irapuato MEX D2

03/10/2025 23:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 4 Cancun MEX D2

27/09/2025 21:00

Cancun 1 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

20/09/2025 21:00

Tampico Madero 2 - 1 Cancun MEX D2

13/09/2025 21:00

Cancun 1 - 0 Venados FC MEX D2

05/09/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 0 Cancun MEX D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

223

Cancun

213

Goals

Scored

161

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

134

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

138

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 223 matches

YesNo

110 (49%)113 (51%)

In last 223 matches

NoYes

98 (46%)115 (54%)

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent matches

Cancun

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Cancun

Shots

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Cancun

Total shots

8.23 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos Pass Cancun

Total passes

608

Avg. 304 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

422

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

OTHERS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

223

Played games

Cancun

213

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.29

4.20

936

Corners

911

4.28

0.13

Throw-ins

0.00

0.02

Offsides

0.03

0.06

GK saves

0.03

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DISCIPLINARY

Cancun

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

501

445

2.09

0.14

0.14

0.17

Fouls

0.07

0.13

Tackles

0.09

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

09/03

Tepatitlan de Morelos

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun on 17 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Cancun Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cancun's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Tepatitlan de Morelos and Cancun sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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