Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 July

Tampa Bay Rowdies

WDLWL

1st place in USL First Division

1-4

Tampa Bay Rowdies
Win Probability 58%

04/07/2026 18:00

Lexington

WLWWW

19th place in USL First Division

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington on 04 July 2026 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington preview before placing your bet.

Tampa Bay Rowdies will face Lexington in USL First Division on July 4, 2026 at 18:00.
Tampa Bay Rowdies are currently 1st with 32 points after 16 matches.
Lexington sit 19th with 18 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.47.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2026-07-04

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington - Prediction & Odds

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Lexington

2026-07-04 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/07/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tampa Bay Rowdies	32	16	9	5	2	25	13	12
02 Orange County Blues FC	28	16	7	7	2	25	18	7
03 Charleston Battery	27	16	8	3	5	31	22	9
04 Detroit City	27	15	8	3	4	23	14	9
05 San Antonio	25	16	6	7	3	21	19	2
06 New Mexico United	24	14	7	3	4	19	15	4
07 Louisville City FC	24	16	7	3	6	26	25	1
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	23	15	7	2	6	19	18	1
09 FC Tulsa	22	14	6	4	4	18	16	2
10 Indy Eleven	21	14	6	3	5	18	16	2
11 Oakland Roots	21	15	5	6	4	24	22	2
12 Miami FC	21	16	5	6	5	20	24	-4
13 Sacramento Republic FC	20	14	5	5	4	16	14	2
14 Phoenix Rising FC	20	16	5	5	6	23	24	-1
15 Rhode Island	19	14	5	4	5	24	18	6
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	19	14	5	4	5	24	22	2
17 El Paso Locomotive FC	19	15	5	4	6	25	25	0
18 Hartford Athletic	19	15	4	7	4	12	14	-2
19 Lexington	18	14	5	3	6	22	20	2
20 Las Vegas Lights	18	15	5	3	7	23	26	-3
21 Monterey Bay FC	15	16	4	3	9	16	25	-9
22 Birmingham Legion	14	15	2	8	5	16	19	-3
23 Brooklyn FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
24 Loudoun United	12	15	1	9	5	18	29	-11
25 Sporting Jax	8	17	1	5	11	23	44	-21

Tampa Bay Rowdies Last 6 matches

19/07/2026 06:00

Loudoun United 1 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies

USL Championship

12/07/2026 06:30

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 0 FC Naples

USA USL League One Cup

05/07/2026 05:00

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 4 Lexington

USL Championship

21/06/2026 06:00

Brooklyn FC 0 - 2 Tampa Bay Rowdies

USL Championship

14/06/2026 06:35

Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 Hartford Athletic

USL Championship

11/06/2026 07:40

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 2 Charleston Battery

USL Championship

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lexington

16/07/2026 06:00

Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico United

USL Championship

12/07/2026 07:00

Louisville City FC 4 - 2 Lexington

USA USL League One Cup

05/07/2026 05:00

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 4 Lexington

USL Championship

21/06/2026 06:00

Lexington 0 - 0 Indy Eleven

USA USL League One Cup

14/06/2026 06:05

Lexington 2 - 0 San Antonio

USL Championship

07/06/2026 06:05

Detroit City 1 - 1 Lexington

USA USL League One Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Played games

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Lexington

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.86

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 14 home matches

YesNo

13 (93%)1 (7%)

In last 14 home matches

NoYes

9 (75%)3 (25%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Recent matches

Lexington

Under /Over

(71%)10 4(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(83%)10 2(17%)

Under /Over

(29%)4 10(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)6 6(50%)

Under /Over

(36%)5 9(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(67%)8 4(33%)

/Yes

(29%)4 10(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)6 6(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Lexington

Shots

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Total shots

8.40 avg / game

Blocked

23 total

Avg. 3.29

Lexington

Total shots

7.00 avg / game

Blocked

19 total

Avg. 2.11

Tampa Bay Rowdies Pass Lexington

Total passes

2015

Avg. 202 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

3209

Avg. 292 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Played games

Lexington

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.64

Clean sheets

0.42

2.14

Corners

1.67

6.14

Throw-ins

104

8.67

0.21

Offsides

0.92

0.57

GK saves

0.67

Tampa Bay Rowdies

DISCIPLINARY

Lexington

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.86

0.75

0.00

0.00

5.36

Fouls

5.67

2.36

Tackles

4.08

NEXT MATCHES

Orange County Blues FC

NEXT MATCHES

Sacramento Republic FC

Lexington

USL

How We Build the Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington on 04 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lexington's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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