Sweden vs Poland: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Prediction

Sweden

L D L W D

3rd place in Group D

? - ?

28/09/2026 14:45

Poland

D L L W W

2nd place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sweden vs Poland on 28 September 2026 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sweden vs Poland preview before placing your bet.

Sweden are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Poland sit 2nd with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2026

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Romania	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Poland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Sweden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Bosnia and Herzegovina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Sweden Last 6 matches

01/07/2026 04:00

France 3 - 0 Sweden FIFA World Cup

26/06/2026 06:00

Japan 1 - 1 Sweden FIFA World Cup

21/06/2026 00:00

Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden FIFA World Cup

15/06/2026 09:00

Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia FIFA World Cup

05/06/2026 00:00

Sweden 2 - 2 Greece International Friendly

02/06/2026 00:00

Norway 3 - 1 Sweden International Friendly

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Poland

04/06/2026 01:45

Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria International Friendly

31/05/2026 22:30

Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine International Friendly

01/04/2026 01:45

Sweden 3 - 2 Poland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

27/03/2026 02:45

Poland 2 - 1 Albania FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

18/11/2025 02:45

Malta 2 - 3 Poland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

15/11/2025 02:45

Poland 1 - 1 Netherlands FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Sweden

Poland

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.93

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 84 matches

YesNo

49 (58%)35 (42%)

In last 84 matches

NoYes

58 (71%)24 (29%)

Sweden

Recent matches

Poland

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sweden

Poland

Shots

Sweden

Total shots

12.99 avg / game

Blocked

181 total

Avg. 3.48

Poland

Total shots

12.67 avg / game

Blocked

219 total

Avg. 3.91

Sweden Pass Poland

Total passes

25642

Avg. 458 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

26919

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sweden

Played games

Poland

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.35

4.61

387

Corners

356

4.34

12.85

1079

Throw-ins

1063

12.96

1.20

101

Offsides

1.20

2.35

197

GK saves

164

2.00

Sweden

DISCIPLINARY

Poland

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.36

114

127

1.55

0.01

0.02

10.07

846

Fouls

867

10.57

7.23

607

Tackles

761

9.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Bosnia and Herzegovina

UEF

How We Build the Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sweden vs Poland on 28 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sweden vs Poland Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sweden's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Poland's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Sweden and Poland sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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