Super Nova vs Jelgava: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Super Nova

L D D D L

9th place in Latvian Higher League

1-1

04/10/2025 09:00

Jelgava

D D D D D

6th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Super Nova vs Jelgava on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Super Nova vs Jelgava preview before placing your bet.

Super Nova are currently 9th with 32 points after 36 matches.
Jelgava sit 6th with 38 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Jelgava to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Super Nova have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-10-04

Super Nova vs Jelgava - Prediction & Odds

Super Nova

Jelgava

2025-10-04 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	85	26	59
02 FK Rigas Futbola skola	87	36	28	3	5	100	39	61
03 FK Liepaja	61	36	18	7	11	59	55	4
04 BFC Daugavpils	48	36	13	9	14	52	62	-10
05 FK Auda Riga	45	36	13	6	17	44	49	-5
06 Jelgava	38	36	8	14	14	39	46	-7
07 Tukums-2000	36	36	9	9	18	39	63	-24
08 Grobina	32	36	8	8	20	33	64	-31
09 Super Nova	32	36	6	14	16	44	56	-12
10 Metta/LU Riga	31	36	8	7	21	39	74	-35

Head To Head

20/07/2025 10:00

Jelgava

1 - 0

Super Nova

LAT D1

21/05/2025 13:00

Super Nova

0 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

05/04/2025 09:00

Jelgava

2 - 1

Super Nova

LAT D1

01/10/2023 07:00

Super Nova

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

09/07/2023 09:00

Jelgava

2 - 2

Super Nova

LAT D1

18/05/2023 10:00

Super Nova

2 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

Super Nova

Draw

67%

Jelgava

33%

Super Nova Last 6 matches

28/09/2025 09:00

Tukums-2000 2 - 1 Super Nova LAT D1

22/09/2025 11:00

FK Auda Riga 3 - 2 Super Nova LAT D1

14/09/2025 09:00

Metta/LU Riga 2 - 1 Super Nova LAT D1

30/08/2025 07:00

Super Nova 2 - 6 Riga FC LAT D1

25/08/2025 10:30

FK Liepaja 0 - 3 Super Nova LAT D1

18/08/2025 12:00

FK Auda Riga 1 - 1 Super Nova LAT Cup

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Jelgava

27/09/2025 07:00

Jelgava 1 - 1 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

21/09/2025 07:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 Riga FC LAT D1

13/09/2025 09:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 1 - 4 Jelgava LAT D1

29/08/2025 10:30

Grobina 3 - 2 Jelgava LAT D1

23/08/2025 08:00

Jelgava 1 - 1 Tukums-2000 LAT D1

09/08/2025 11:00

Metta/LU Riga 2 - 2 Jelgava LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

144

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored

143

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 196 matches

YesNo

97 (49%)99 (51%)

In last 196 matches

NoYes

91 (47%)102 (53%)

Super Nova

Recent matches

Jelgava

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Super Nova

Jelgava

Shots

Super Nova

Total shots

9.73 avg / game

Blocked

86 total

Avg. 2.61

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 3.17

Super Nova Pass Jelgava

Total passes

10747

Avg. 316 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

43%

Total passes

12825

Avg. 366 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Super Nova

196

Played games

Jelgava

193

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.25

3.85

754

Corners

662

3.43

3.63

712

Throw-ins

786

4.07

0.24

Offsides

0.20

0.64

125

GK saves

137

0.71

Super Nova

DISCIPLINARY

Jelgava

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

354

322

1.67

0.05

0.07

2.56

502

Fouls

501

2.60

2.62

513

Tackles

475

2.46

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

FK Rigas Futbola skola

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Super Nova vs Jelgava Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Super Nova vs Jelgava on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Super Nova vs Jelgava Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Super Nova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Jelgava's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Super Nova and Jelgava sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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