Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 October

Sunderland A.F.C

D L L L L

4th place in England Championship

2-0

01/10/2024 18:45

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County on 01 October 2024 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Sunderland A.F.C are currently 4th with 76 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sunderland A.F.C to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Sunderland A.F.C, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2024-10-01

Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Sunderland A.F.C

Derby County

2024-10-01 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 01/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

30/03/2018 18:45

Derby County

1 - 4

Sunderland A.F.C

ENG LCH

04/08/2017 18:45

Sunderland A.F.C

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

08/08/2012 18:45

Derby County

1 - 1

Sunderland A.F.C

INT CF

01/03/2008 15:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Sunderland A.F.C

ENG PR

01/12/2007 15:00

Sunderland A.F.C

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG PR

24/02/2007 15:00

Sunderland A.F.C

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

Sunderland A.F.C

50%

Draw

50%

Derby County

Sunderland A.F.C Last 6 matches

28/09/2024 14:00

Watford 2 - 1 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

21/09/2024 11:30

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

14/09/2024 14:00

Plymouth Argyle 3 - 2 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

31/08/2024 14:00

Portsmouth 1 - 3 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

24/08/2024 14:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Burnley ENG LCH

18/08/2024 11:00

Sunderland A.F.C 4 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

28/09/2024 11:30

Derby County 2 - 3 Norwich City ENG LCH

21/09/2024 14:00

Sheffield United 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

14/09/2024 14:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Cardiff City ENG LCH

31/08/2024 14:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Bristol City ENG LCH

27/08/2024 18:45

Barrow 0 - 0 Derby County ENG LC

24/08/2024 14:00

Watford 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

186

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

142

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

136 (45%)164 (55%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

140 (47%)160 (53%)

Sunderland A.F.C

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sunderland A.F.C

Derby County

Shots

Sunderland A.F.C

Total shots

12.65 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 3.98

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Sunderland A.F.C Pass Derby County

Total passes

112801

Avg. 434 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sunderland A.F.C

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.32

4.99

1496

Corners

1523

5.08

17.88

5363

Throw-ins

6324

21.08

1.55

464

Offsides

553

1.84

2.24

673

GK saves

682

2.27

Sunderland A.F.C

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

554

528

1.76

0.05

0.05

9.43

2828

Fouls

2974

9.91

13.13

3938

Tackles

3651

12.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County on 01 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sunderland A.F.C vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sunderland A.F.C's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Sunderland A.F.C and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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