Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 October

Sukhothai

L L D L L

13th place in Thai Premier League

3-1

26/10/2025 07:30

BG Pathum United

D W D W D

4th place in Thai Premier League

Thai Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United on 26 October 2025 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United preview before placing your bet.

Sukhothai are currently 13th with 28 points after 30 matches.
BG Pathum United sit 4th with 52 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: BG Pathum United to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors BG Pathum United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sukhothai have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2025-10-26

Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United - Prediction & Odds

Sukhothai

BG Pathum United

2025-10-26 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Buriram United	70	30	22	4	4	76	31	45
02 Port FC	60	30	18	6	6	59	23	36
03 Ratchaburi FC	59	30	18	5	7	55	30	25
04 BG Pathum United	52	30	14	10	6	45	29	16
05 Bangkok United FC	50	30	13	11	6	43	32	11
06 Prachuap Khiri Khan	45	30	11	12	7	39	37	2
07 Chiangrai United	40	30	9	13	8	36	37	-1
08 Chonburi Shark FC	39	30	10	9	11	38	41	-3
09 Rayong FC	37	30	9	10	11	44	49	-5
10 Ayutthaya United	32	30	8	8	14	34	50	-16
11 Uthai Thani FC	31	30	7	10	13	39	44	-5
12 Lamphun Warrior	29	30	4	17	9	35	47	-12
13 Sukhothai	28	30	6	10	14	23	42	-19
14 Muang Thong United	26	30	6	8	16	27	52	-25
15 Nakhon Ratchasima	24	30	6	6	18	20	44	-24
16 DP Kanchanaburi	23	30	4	11	15	29	54	-25

Head To Head

27/04/2025 07:00

BG Pathum United

4 - 4

Sukhothai

THA PR

10/08/2024 07:30

Sukhothai

1 - 3

BG Pathum United

THA PR

09/03/2024 07:30

BG Pathum United

7 - 1

Sukhothai

THA PR

07/10/2023 07:00

Sukhothai

1 - 2

BG Pathum United

THA PR

22/04/2023 07:30

Sukhothai

2 - 0

BG Pathum United

THA PR

09/11/2022 08:00

BG Pathum United

0 - 1

Sukhothai

THA PR

Sukhothai

33%

Draw

17%

BG Pathum United

50%

Sukhothai Last 6 matches

04/10/2025 08:30

Ayutthaya United 1 - 1 Sukhothai THA PR

26/09/2025 08:00

Sukhothai 1 - 1 Chiangrai United THA PR

20/09/2025 07:30

Uthai Thani FC 1 - 1 Sukhothai THA PR

13/09/2025 07:30

Sukhothai 1 - 2 Lamphun Warrior THA PR

31/08/2025 07:30

Prachuap Khiri Khan 0 - 0 Sukhothai THA PR

24/08/2025 07:30

Sukhothai 1 - 0 Port FC THA PR

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches BG Pathum United

23/10/2025 06:00

Kaya FC 0 - 2 BG Pathum United ACL2

18/10/2025 08:30

BG Pathum United 1 - 0 Ayutthaya United THA PR

05/10/2025 08:00

Buriram United 2 - 2 BG Pathum United THA PR

02/10/2025 06:00

Tampines Rovers FC 2 - 1 BG Pathum United ACL2

28/09/2025 08:00

BG Pathum United 2 - 0 Port FC THA PR

24/09/2025 08:00

BG Pathum United 2 - 2 Buriram United ASEAN CC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Thai Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

163

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

263

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 199 matches

YesNo

108 (54%)91 (46%)

In last 199 matches

NoYes

161 (60%)109 (40%)

Sukhothai

Recent matches

BG Pathum United

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sukhothai

BG Pathum United

Shots

Sukhothai

Total shots

10.97 avg / game

Blocked

181 total

Avg. 3.07

BG Pathum United

Total shots

11.88 avg / game

Blocked

316 total

Avg. 3.59

Sukhothai Pass BG Pathum United

Total passes

29512

Avg. 328 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

50699

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sukhothai

199

Played games

BG Pathum United

270

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.34

4.62

919

Corners

1403

5.20

5.16

1027

Throw-ins

1300

4.81

0.91

181

Offsides

212

0.79

1.86

370

GK saves

402

1.49

Sukhothai

DISCIPLINARY

BG Pathum United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

410

464

1.72

0.13

0.08

6.36

1266

Fouls

1772

6.56

4.33

862

Tackles

1362

5.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United on 26 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Thai Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sukhothai's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against BG Pathum United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Thai Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Thai Premier League standings and the Thai Premier League form table to understand exactly where Sukhothai and BG Pathum United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Thai Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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