Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Sturm Graz

D D D D W

2nd place in Championship Playoffs

1-0

28/09/2025 08:30

TSV Hartberg

D W L L L

6th place in Championship Playoffs

Austrian Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg preview before placing your bet.

Sturm Graz are currently 2nd with 37 points after 10 matches.
TSV Hartberg sit 6th with 25 points from 10 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Sturm Graz, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. TSV Hartberg have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2025-09-28

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg - Prediction & Odds

Sturm Graz

TSV Hartberg

2025-09-28 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 LASK Linz	39	10	6	3	1	24	12	12
02 Sturm Graz	37	10	4	6	0	18	9	9
03 Red Bull Salzburg	29	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
04 Austria Wien	29	10	3	2	5	11	20	-9
05 Rapid Wien	27	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 TSV Hartberg	25	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 SV Ried	28	10	4	2	4	12	12	0
02 Wolfsberger AC	28	10	4	3	3	10	10	0
03 Rheindorf Altach	27	10	3	4	3	14	16	-2
04 Grazer AK	27	10	5	2	3	20	9	11
05 WSG Swarovski Tirol	24	10	2	3	5	9	22	-13
06 FC Blau Weiss Linz	21	10	4	2	4	17	13	4

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sturm Graz	38	22	12	2	8	33	26	7
02 Red Bull Salzburg	37	22	10	7	5	42	26	16
03 LASK Linz	37	22	11	4	7	32	30	2
04 Austria Wien	36	22	11	3	8	34	30	4
05 TSV Hartberg	33	22	8	9	5	29	24	5
06 Rapid Wien	33	22	9	6	7	26	25	1
07 WSG Swarovski Tirol	31	22	8	7	7	31	30	1
08 Rheindorf Altach	29	22	7	8	7	22	23	-1
09 SV Ried	28	22	8	4	10	26	30	-4
10 Wolfsberger AC	26	22	7	5	10	31	32	-1
11 Grazer AK	20	22	4	8	10	22	36	-14
12 FC Blau Weiss Linz	15	22	4	3	15	20	36	-16

Head To Head

09/11/2024 12:00

TSV Hartberg

1 - 2

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

11/08/2024 11:00

Sturm Graz

2 - 0

TSV Hartberg

AUT D1

05/05/2024 08:30

Sturm Graz

1 - 1

TSV Hartberg

AUT D1

14/04/2024 08:30

TSV Hartberg

1 - 3

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

10/03/2024 11:59

TSV Hartberg

1 - 1

Sturm Graz

AUT D1

21/10/2023 11:00

Sturm Graz

2 - 1

TSV Hartberg

AUT D1

Sturm Graz

67%

Draw

33%

TSV Hartberg

Sturm Graz Last 6 matches

24/09/2025 12:45

Midtjylland 2 - 0 Sturm Graz UEFA EL

20/09/2025 11:00

Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 2 Sturm Graz AUT D1

17/09/2025 11:00

Sc Rothis 0 - 2 Sturm Graz AUT CUP

14/09/2025 11:00

Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Austria Wien AUT D1

30/08/2025 13:30

Grazer AK 0 - 3 Sturm Graz AUT D1

26/08/2025 15:00

Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Bodo Glimt UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches TSV Hartberg

20/09/2025 11:00

TSV Hartberg 2 - 2 Wolfsberger AC AUT D1

14/09/2025 08:30

SV Ried 0 - 2 TSV Hartberg AUT D1

31/08/2025 11:00

TSV Hartberg 0 - 1 Rapid Wien AUT D1

27/08/2025 14:30

Atus Velden 0 - 0 TSV Hartberg AUT CUP

24/08/2025 11:00

Austria Wien 1 - 3 TSV Hartberg AUT D1

16/08/2025 11:00

TSV Hartberg 1 - 2 Red Bull Salzburg AUT D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Austrian Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

295

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

249

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

179 (60%)121 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

171 (58%)125 (42%)

Sturm Graz

Recent matches

TSV Hartberg

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sturm Graz

TSV Hartberg

Shots

Sturm Graz

Total shots

13.52 avg / game

Blocked

502 total

Avg. 3.51

TSV Hartberg

Total shots

10.87 avg / game

Blocked

240 total

Avg. 2.40

Sturm Graz Pass TSV Hartberg

Total passes

74564

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

63813

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sturm Graz

300

Played games

TSV Hartberg

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.29

5.13

1539

Corners

1258

4.25

8.44

2531

Throw-ins

1310

4.43

1.27

382

Offsides

365

1.23

1.80

541

GK saves

617

2.08

Sturm Graz

DISCIPLINARY

TSV Hartberg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

474

476

1.61

0.10

0.07

9.11

2732

Fouls

2312

7.81

9.74

2922

Tackles

2272

7.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Austrian Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sturm Graz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against TSV Hartberg's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Austrian Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Austrian Bundesliga standings and the Austrian Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Sturm Graz and TSV Hartberg sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Austrian Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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