Stevenage Borough vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 October

Stevenage Borough

D L W L D

9th place in England League 1

3-1

28/10/2023 10:00

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Stevenage Borough vs Derby County on 28 October 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Stevenage Borough vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Stevenage Borough are currently 9th with 71 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 2nd with 92 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Stevenage Borough to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Stevenage Borough, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2023-10-28

Stevenage Borough vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Stevenage Borough

Derby County

2023-10-28 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/10/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

19/07/2022 14:30

Stevenage Borough

1 - 0

Derby County

INT CF

Stevenage Borough

100%

Draw

Derby County

Stevenage Borough Last 6 matches

14/10/2023 10:00

Blackpool 3 - 0 Stevenage Borough ENG L1

10/10/2023 14:00

Stevenage Borough 0 - 1 Wycombe Wanderers ENG JPT

07/10/2023 10:00

Stevenage Borough 1 - 0 Wigan Athletic ENG L1

03/10/2023 14:45

Bolton Wanderers 3 - 2 Stevenage Borough ENG L1

30/09/2023 10:00

Stevenage Borough 1 - 3 Oxford United ENG L1

23/09/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 0 - 3 Stevenage Borough ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Derby County

10/10/2023 14:00

Notts County 1 - 2 Derby County ENG JPT

07/10/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

03/10/2023 14:45

Blackpool 1 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

30/09/2023 10:00

Derby County 0 - 0 Cambridge United ENG L1

23/09/2023 10:00

Carlisle United 0 - 2 Derby County ENG L1

19/09/2023 14:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Lincoln City ENG JPT

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

210

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

223

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

152 (51%)148 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

160 (53%)140 (47%)

Stevenage Borough

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Stevenage Borough

Derby County

Shots

Stevenage Borough

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

701 total

Avg. 3.31

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Stevenage Borough Pass Derby County

Total passes

84648

Avg. 328 / game

Accurate

62%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Stevenage Borough

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

106

Clean sheets

0.32

4.95

1486

Corners

1524

5.08

22.93

6878

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

2.12

635

Offsides

562

1.87

1.80

541

GK saves

684

2.28

Stevenage Borough

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

510

527

1.76

0.04

0.05

10.52

3157

Fouls

2991

9.97

12.57

3771

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Stevenage Borough vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Stevenage Borough vs Derby County on 28 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Stevenage Borough vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Stevenage Borough's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Stevenage Borough and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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