Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 May

Prediction Match Centre

Standard Sumgayit

WWLWL

7th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

3-4

Qarabag
Win Probability 69%

22/05/2026 11:30

Qarabag

WLWDW

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag on 22 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

Standard Sumgayit will face Qarabag in Azerbaijan Premier League on May 22, 2026 at 11:30.
Standard Sumgayit are currently 7th with 38 points after 33 matches.
Qarabag sit 2nd with 69 points from 33 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.32.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2026-05-22

Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Standard Sumgayit

Qarabag

2026-05-22 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 22/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

21/11/2025 11:00

Standard Sumgayit

2 - 4

Qarabag

AZE D1

22/08/2025 11:30

Qarabag

0 - 1

Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

04/05/2025 10:00

Qarabag

2 - 0

Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

03/03/2025 11:30

Standard Sumgayit

0 - 2

Qarabag

AZE D1

16/12/2024 11:00

Qarabag

5 - 0

Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

06/10/2024 12:00

Standard Sumgayit

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

Standard Sumgayit

33%

Draw

Qarabag

67%

Standard Sumgayit Last 6 matches

17/05/2026 10:00

Zira FK 2 - 1 Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

09/05/2026 11:30

Standard Sumgayit 2 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

02/05/2026 08:00

FK Kapaz Ganca 2 - 1 Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

25/04/2026 08:00

Mil Mugan 0 - 2 Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

19/04/2026 10:00

Standard Sumgayit 1 - 0 Qabala

AZE D1

12/04/2026 10:00

Turan Tovuz 2 - 1 Standard Sumgayit

AZE D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Qarabag

16/05/2026 09:00

Qarabag 3 - 0 Mil Mugan

AZE D1

09/05/2026 09:00

Qabala 1 - 1 Qarabag

AZE D1

04/05/2026 11:30

Qarabag 2 - 1 Turan Tovuz

AZE D1

30/04/2026 12:00

FC Neftci Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE D1

26/04/2026 11:00

FC Neftci Baku 1 - 5 Qarabag

AZE D1

22/04/2026 12:00

Sabah FK Baku 2 - 1 Qarabag

AZE CUP

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Standard Sumgayit

Qarabag

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 37 matches

YesNo

22 (59%)15 (41%)

In last 37 matches

NoYes

36 (67%)18 (33%)

Standard Sumgayit

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(76%)28 9(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(30%)11 26(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(54%)20 17(46%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(51%)19 18(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Standard Sumgayit

Qarabag

Shots

Standard Sumgayit

Total shots

8.97 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag

Total shots

13.28 avg / game

Blocked

36 total

Avg. 2.77

Standard Sumgayit Pass Qarabag

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

4490

Avg. 345 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Standard Sumgayit

Played games

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.35

4.11

152

Corners

320

5.93

0.00

Throw-ins

192

3.56

0.08

Offsides

0.52

0.08

GK saves

1.04

Standard Sumgayit

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.38

1.37

0.11

0.04

0.54

Fouls

152

2.81

0.00

Tackles

104

1.93

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag on 22 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Standard Sumgayit vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Standard Sumgayit's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Standard Sumgayit and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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