St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

St. Pauli

L W W L W

1st place in German Bundesliga 2

5-1

17/09/2023 07:30

Holstein Kiel

W W L W D

2nd place in German Bundesliga 2

German Bundesliga 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel on 17 September 2023 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel preview before placing your bet.

St. Pauli are currently 1st with 69 points after 34 matches.
Holstein Kiel sit 2nd with 68 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: St. Pauli to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Holstein Kiel, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2023-09-17

St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel - Prediction & Odds

St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel

2023-09-17 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 St. Pauli	69	34	20	9	5	62	36	26
02 Holstein Kiel	68	34	21	5	8	65	39	26
03 Fortuna Dusseldorf	63	34	18	9	7	72	40	32
04 Hamburger SV	58	34	17	7	10	64	44	20
05 Karlsruher SC	55	34	15	10	9	68	48	20
06 Hannover 96	52	34	13	13	8	59	44	15
07 SC Paderborn 07	52	34	15	7	12	54	54	0
08 Greuther Furth	50	34	14	8	12	50	49	1
09 Hertha Berlin	48	34	13	9	12	69	59	10
10 Schalke 04	43	34	12	7	15	53	60	-7
11 SV Elversberg	43	34	12	7	15	49	63	-14
12 Nurnberg	40	34	11	7	16	43	64	-21
13 Kaiserslautern	39	34	11	6	17	59	64	-5
14 Magdeburg	38	34	9	11	14	46	54	-8
15 Eintracht Braunschweig	38	34	11	5	18	37	53	-16
16 SV Wehen Wiesbaden	32	34	8	8	18	36	50	-14
17 Hansa Rostock	31	34	9	4	21	30	57	-27
18 VfL Osnabruck	28	34	6	10	18	31	69	-38

Head To Head

19/05/2023 12:30

Holstein Kiel

3 - 4

St. Pauli

GER D2

08/11/2022 13:30

St. Pauli

0 - 0

Holstein Kiel

GER D2

25/06/2022 07:30

Holstein Kiel

2 - 0

St. Pauli

INT CF

17/12/2021 13:30

Holstein Kiel

3 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D2

25/07/2021 07:30

St. Pauli

3 - 0

Holstein Kiel

GER D2

07/05/2021 12:30

Holstein Kiel

4 - 0

St. Pauli

GER D2

St. Pauli

33%

Draw

17%

Holstein Kiel

50%

St. Pauli Last 6 matches

01/09/2023 12:30

Eintracht Braunschweig 1 - 1 St. Pauli GER D2

27/08/2023 07:30

St. Pauli 0 - 0 Magdeburg GER D2

19/08/2023 07:00

Greuther Furth 0 - 0 St. Pauli GER D2

12/08/2023 09:30

SV Atlas Delmenhorst 0 - 5 St. Pauli GERC

05/08/2023 07:00

St. Pauli 0 - 0 Fortuna Dusseldorf GER D2

29/07/2023 07:00

Kaiserslautern 1 - 2 St. Pauli GER D2

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Holstein Kiel

06/09/2023 11:59

Rotenburger SV 0 - 5 Holstein Kiel INT CF

02/09/2023 07:00

Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 GER D2

25/08/2023 12:30

Schalke 04 0 - 2 Holstein Kiel GER D2

20/08/2023 07:30

Holstein Kiel 2 - 4 Magdeburg GER D2

12/08/2023 09:30

Gutersloh 0 - 2 Holstein Kiel GERC

05/08/2023 07:00

Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 Greuther Furth GER D2

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

207

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

146 (55%)119 (45%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

172 (64%)97 (36%)

St. Pauli

Recent matches

Holstein Kiel

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel

Shots

St. Pauli

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

763 total

Avg. 3.78

Holstein Kiel

Total shots

12.65 avg / game

Blocked

671 total

Avg. 3.31

St. Pauli Pass Holstein Kiel

Total passes

101247

Avg. 469 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

94505

Avg. 444 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

St. Pauli

265

Played games

Holstein Kiel

269

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.27

4.69

1242

Corners

1164

4.33

17.25

4572

Throw-ins

4453

16.55

1.52

404

Offsides

375

1.39

2.34

619

GK saves

694

2.58

St. Pauli

DISCIPLINARY

Holstein Kiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

418

480

1.78

0.07

0.06

8.78

2328

Fouls

2602

9.67

11.12

2947

Tackles

2997

11.14

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel on 17 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Pauli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Holstein Kiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga 2 standings and the German Bundesliga 2 form table to understand exactly where St. Pauli and Holstein Kiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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