St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 March

St. Patricks Athletic

W L W D D

2nd place in Ireland Premier Division

0-0

16/03/2026 15:45

Derry City

W L D W L

6th place in Ireland Premier Division

Ireland Premier Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City on 16 March 2026 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City preview before placing your bet.

St. Patricks Athletic are currently 2nd with 44 points after 26 matches.
Derry City sit 6th with 30 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: St. Patricks Athletic to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. St. Patricks Athletic have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2026-03-16

St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City - Prediction & Odds

St. Patricks Athletic

Derry City

2026-03-16 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 16/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Shamrock Rovers	51	26	15	6	5	40	22	18
02 St. Patricks Athletic	44	26	12	8	6	41	22	19
03 Bohemians	44	26	12	8	6	41	28	13
04 Dundalk	37	26	9	10	7	40	38	2
05 Shelbourne	34	25	8	10	7	35	36	-1
06 Derry City	30	26	6	12	8	33	32	1
07 Galway United	29	25	7	8	10	33	40	-7
08 Drogheda United	27	26	6	9	11	31	43	-12
09 Waterford United	25	26	5	10	11	34	47	-13
10 Sligo Rovers	22	26	5	7	14	23	43	-20

Head To Head

29/08/2025 14:45

Derry City

2 - 2

St. Patricks Athletic

IRE PR

23/06/2025 14:45

St. Patricks Athletic

0 - 1

Derry City

IRE PR

05/05/2025 14:45

Derry City

1 - 0

St. Patricks Athletic

IRE PR

03/03/2025 15:45

St. Patricks Athletic

2 - 0

Derry City

IRE PR

25/10/2024 14:45

St. Patricks Athletic

1 - 0

Derry City

IRE PR

21/07/2024 13:00

Derry City

3 - 0

St. Patricks Athletic

IRFAIC

St. Patricks Athletic

33%

Draw

17%

Derry City

50%

St. Patricks Athletic Last 6 matches

13/03/2026 15:45

St. Patricks Athletic 4 - 1 Drogheda United IRE PR

06/03/2026 16:00

Shelbourne 2 - 3 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

02/03/2026 15:45

St. Patricks Athletic 1 - 0 Galway United IRE PR

27/02/2026 15:45

St. Patricks Athletic 4 - 0 Dundalk IRE PR

20/02/2026 16:00

Shamrock Rovers 2 - 0 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

08/02/2026 10:00

Bohemians 0 - 0 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Derry City

13/03/2026 15:45

Derry City 1 - 2 Shelbourne IRE PR

06/03/2026 16:00

Shamrock Rovers 1 - 0 Derry City IRE PR

27/02/2026 15:45

Derry City 4 - 2 Waterford United IRE PR

20/02/2026 15:45

Derry City 0 - 1 Bohemians IRE PR

13/02/2026 15:45

Derry City 2 - 2 Dundalk IRE PR

06/02/2026 16:00

Derry City 2 - 1 Sligo Rovers IRE PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ireland Premier Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

St. Patricks Athletic

285

Derry City

270

Goals

Scored

256

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

166

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

238

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

136

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 285 matches

YesNo

164 (58%)121 (42%)

In last 285 matches

NoYes

162 (60%)108 (40%)

St. Patricks Athletic

Recent matches

Derry City

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

St. Patricks Athletic

Derry City

Shots

St. Patricks Athletic

Total shots

12.39 avg / game

Blocked

368 total

Avg. 4.28

Derry City

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

283 total

Avg. 3.63

St. Patricks Athletic Pass Derry City

Total passes

46572

Avg. 401 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

49148

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

St. Patricks Athletic

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

St. Patricks Athletic

OTHERS

St. Patricks Athletic

285

Played games

Derry City

270

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

108

Clean sheets

104

0.39

4.98

1420

Corners

1470

5.44

5.46

1556

Throw-ins

1819

6.74

1.01

287

Offsides

218

0.81

2.12

604

GK saves

496

1.84

St. Patricks Athletic

DISCIPLINARY

Derry City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

498

522

1.93

0.08

0.09

6.16

1756

Fouls

1777

6.58

4.74

1351

Tackles

1398

5.18

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Shelbourne

St. Patricks Athletic

IRE

08/21

Drogheda United

St. Patricks Athletic

IRE

08/28

St. Patricks Athletic

St. Patricks Athletic

IRE

09/11

St. Patricks Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City on 16 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ireland Premier Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

St. Patricks Athletic vs Derry City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess St. Patricks Athletic's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derry City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ireland Premier Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ireland Premier Division standings and the Ireland Premier Division form table to understand exactly where St. Patricks Athletic and Derry City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ireland Premier Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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