Spezia vs Palermo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Spezia

L L W L D

20th place in Italian Serie B

1-2

04/10/2025 11:15

Palermo

W D W D W

4th place in Italian Serie B

Italian Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spezia vs Palermo on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spezia vs Palermo preview before placing your bet.

Spezia are currently 20th with 35 points after 38 matches.
Palermo sit 4th with 72 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Spezia to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Spezia and Palermo have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2025-10-04

Spezia vs Palermo - Prediction & Odds

Spezia

Palermo

2025-10-04 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Venezia	82	38	24	10	4	77	31	46
02 Frosinone	81	38	23	12	3	76	34	42
03 Monza	76	38	22	10	6	61	32	29
04 Palermo	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
05 Catanzaro	59	38	15	14	9	62	51	11
06 Modena	55	38	15	10	13	49	36	13
07 Juve Stabia	51	38	11	18	9	44	45	-1
08 Avellino	49	38	13	10	15	43	55	-12
09 Padova	46	38	12	10	16	39	49	-10
10 Cesena	46	38	12	10	16	45	56	-11
11 Mantova	46	38	13	7	18	45	57	-12
12 Carrarese	44	38	10	14	14	47	52	-5
13 Sampdoria	44	38	11	11	16	35	48	-13
14 ACD Virtus Entella	42	38	10	12	16	36	51	-15
15 Empoli	41	38	9	14	15	47	54	-7
16 SudTirol	41	38	8	17	13	38	48	-10
17 Bari	40	38	10	10	18	38	60	-22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919	37	38	9	10	19	36	56	-20
19 Pescara	35	38	7	14	17	51	66	-15
20 Spezia	35	38	8	11	19	43	59	-16

Head To Head

09/02/2025 10:00

Spezia

2 - 2

Palermo

ITA D2

01/12/2024 10:00

Palermo

2 - 0

Spezia

ITA D2

01/05/2024 09:00

Spezia

1 - 0

Palermo

ITA D2

23/10/2023 14:30

Palermo

2 - 2

Spezia

ITA D2

01/05/2019 06:30

Palermo

2 - 2

Spezia

ITA D2

23/12/2018 12:30

Spezia

1 - 1

Palermo

ITA D2

Spezia

17%

Draw

67%

Palermo

17%

Spezia Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 09:00

Venezia 2 - 0 Spezia ITA D2

24/09/2025 11:00

Parma 2 - 2 Spezia ITA Cup

20/09/2025 09:00

Spezia 1 - 3 Juve Stabia ITA D2

14/09/2025 13:30

Empoli 1 - 1 Spezia ITA D2

30/08/2025 15:00

Spezia 0 - 0 Catanzaro ITA D2

24/08/2025 13:00

Spezia 0 - 2 Carrarese ITA D2

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Palermo

27/09/2025 09:00

Cesena 1 - 1 Palermo ITA D2

23/09/2025 12:30

Udinese 2 - 1 Palermo ITA Cup

19/09/2025 15:00

Palermo 2 - 0 Bari ITA D2

14/09/2025 11:15

SudTirol 0 - 2 Palermo ITA D2

30/08/2025 15:00

Palermo 0 - 0 Frosinone ITA D2

23/08/2025 15:00

Palermo 2 - 1 A.C. Reggiana 1919 ITA D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

210

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

179

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 267 matches

YesNo

131 (49%)136 (51%)

In last 267 matches

NoYes

146 (53%)130 (47%)

Spezia

Recent matches

Palermo

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spezia

Palermo

Shots

Spezia

Total shots

12.19 avg / game

Blocked

644 total

Avg. 3.29

Palermo

Total shots

11.90 avg / game

Blocked

316 total

Avg. 3.43

Spezia Pass Palermo

Total passes

92721

Avg. 391 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

63341

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spezia

267

Played games

Palermo

276

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.35

4.56

1217

Corners

1383

5.01

14.61

3901

Throw-ins

2087

7.56

1.39

372

Offsides

217

0.79

2.83

756

GK saves

480

1.74

Spezia

DISCIPLINARY

Palermo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.37

633

589

2.13

0.13

0.13

13.99

3736

Fouls

2324

8.42

12.06

3220

Tackles

1585

5.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spezia vs Palermo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spezia vs Palermo on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spezia vs Palermo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spezia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Palermo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Spezia and Palermo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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