Spain vs Netherlands: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Spain

W W W W W

1st place in Group D

2-2

Pen. 5-4

23/03/2025 15:45

Netherlands

D W L D D

2nd place in Group C

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Spain vs Netherlands on 23 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Spain vs Netherlands preview before placing your bet.

Spain are currently 1st with 16 points after 6 matches.
Netherlands sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Spain to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Netherlands, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Spain have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-03-23

Spain vs Netherlands - Prediction & Odds

Spain

Netherlands

2025-03-23 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2025

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Germany	14	6	4	2	0	18	4	14
02 Netherlands	9	6	2	3	1	13	7	6
03 Hungary	6	6	1	3	2	4	11	-7
04 Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	6	0	2	4	4	17	-13

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	16	6	5	1	0	13	4	9
02 Denmark	8	6	2	2	2	7	5	2
03 Serbia	6	6	1	3	2	3	6	-3
04 Switzerland	2	6	0	2	4	6	14	-8

Head To Head

11/11/2020 15:45

Netherlands

1 - 1

Spain

INT FRL

31/03/2015 14:45

Netherlands

2 - 0

Spain

INT FRL

13/06/2014 15:00

Spain

1 - 5

Netherlands

World Cup

11/07/2010 14:30

Netherlands

0 - 0

Spain

World Cup

Spain

Draw

50%

Netherlands

50%

Spain Last 6 matches

18/11/2024 15:45

Spain 3 - 2 Switzerland UEFA NL

15/11/2024 15:45

Denmark 1 - 2 Spain UEFA NL

15/10/2024 14:45

Spain 3 - 0 Serbia UEFA NL

12/10/2024 14:45

Spain 1 - 0 Denmark UEFA NL

08/09/2024 14:45

Switzerland 1 - 4 Spain UEFA NL

05/09/2024 14:45

Serbia 0 - 0 Spain UEFA NL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Netherlands

19/11/2024 15:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1 - 1 Netherlands UEFA NL

16/11/2024 15:45

Netherlands 4 - 0 Hungary UEFA NL

14/10/2024 14:45

Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands UEFA NL

11/10/2024 14:45

Hungary 1 - 1 Netherlands UEFA NL

10/09/2024 14:45

Netherlands 2 - 2 Germany UEFA NL

07/09/2024 14:45

Netherlands 5 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina UEFA NL

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Spain

Netherlands

Goals

Scored

108

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.21

Scored

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 95 matches

YesNo

64 (67%)31 (33%)

In last 95 matches

NoYes

54 (61%)34 (39%)

Spain

Recent matches

Netherlands

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Spain

Netherlands

Shots

Spain

Total shots

16.77 avg / game

Blocked

310 total

Avg. 4.31

Netherlands

Total shots

15.55 avg / game

Blocked

284 total

Avg. 4.18

Spain Pass Netherlands

Total passes

53210

Avg. 719 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

68%

Total passes

38930

Avg. 573 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Spain

Played games

Netherlands

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.40

5.23

497

Corners

443

5.03

13.04

1239

Throw-ins

1139

12.94

1.63

155

Offsides

134

1.52

1.53

145

GK saves

164

1.86

Spain

DISCIPLINARY

Netherlands

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.22

116

1.05

0.02

0.06

10.00

950

Fouls

898

10.20

9.32

885

Tackles

770

8.75

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Spain vs Netherlands Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Spain vs Netherlands on 23 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Spain vs Netherlands Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Spain's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Netherlands's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Spain and Netherlands sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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