Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 April

Southampton

L L L L L

20th place in English Premier League

0-1

27/04/2023 18:45

AFC Bournemouth

W W L L L

15th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth on 27 April 2023 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth preview before placing your bet.

Southampton are currently 20th with 25 points after 38 matches.
AFC Bournemouth sit 15th with 39 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Southampton to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Southampton, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Bournemouth have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2023-04-27

Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth - Prediction & Odds

Southampton

AFC Bournemouth

2023-04-27 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 27/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

19/10/2022 18:30

AFC Bournemouth

0 - 1

Southampton

ENG PR

20/03/2021 12:15

AFC Bournemouth

0 - 3

Southampton

ENG FAC

19/07/2020 13:00

AFC Bournemouth

0 - 2

Southampton

ENG PR

20/09/2019 19:00

Southampton

1 - 3

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

27/04/2019 14:00

Southampton

3 - 3

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

20/10/2018 14:00

AFC Bournemouth

0 - 0

Southampton

ENG PR

Southampton

50%

Draw

33%

AFC Bournemouth

17%

Southampton Last 6 matches

15/04/2023 14:00

Southampton 0 - 2 Crystal Palace ENG PR

08/04/2023 16:30

Southampton 1 - 4 Manchester City ENG PR

02/04/2023 13:00

West Ham United 1 - 0 Southampton ENG PR

18/03/2023 15:00

Southampton 3 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

15/03/2023 19:30

Southampton 0 - 2 Brentford ENG PR

12/03/2023 14:00

Manchester United 0 - 0 Southampton ENG PR

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches AFC Bournemouth

15/04/2023 14:15

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 3 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

08/04/2023 14:00

Leicester City 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

04/04/2023 18:45

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

01/04/2023 14:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 Fulham ENG PR

18/03/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

11/03/2023 12:30

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Liverpool ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

224

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

256

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored

263

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

150 (50%)150 (50%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

170 (57%)129 (43%)

Southampton

Recent matches

AFC Bournemouth

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Southampton

AFC Bournemouth

Shots

Southampton

Total shots

12.48 avg / game

Blocked

941 total

Avg. 3.73

AFC Bournemouth

Total shots

12.90 avg / game

Blocked

879 total

Avg. 3.54

Southampton Pass AFC Bournemouth

Total passes

127154

Avg. 480 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

110626

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Southampton

300

Played games

AFC Bournemouth

299

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.29

5.44

1631

Corners

1538

5.14

16.12

4836

Throw-ins

5525

18.48

1.54

461

Offsides

419

1.40

2.60

781

GK saves

793

2.65

Southampton

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Bournemouth

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

553

561

1.88

0.05

0.06

9.92

2975

Fouls

3357

11.23

13.37

4011

Tackles

3865

12.93

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth on 27 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Southampton vs AFC Bournemouth Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Southampton's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Bournemouth's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Southampton and AFC Bournemouth sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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