Sondrio vs Pavia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

Sondrio
LWWDL
No standing data
1 - 2
FT
22/02/2026 09:30
Pavia
WLWDD
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sondrio vs Pavia on 22 February 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sondrio vs Pavia preview before placing your bet.

  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Sondrio and Pavia have each won 0 of the last 1 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Sondrio and Pavia in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
19/10/2025 09:00
Pavia Pavia
1 - 1
Sondrio Sondrio
ITA S4
Sondrio
0
0%
Draw
1
100%
Pavia
0
0%
Sondrio Sondrio Last 6 matches
15/02/2026 09:30
AC Leon Monza Brianza 4 - 1 Sondrio ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
Sondrio 4 - 1 AVC Vogherese ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
USD Castellanzese 1 - 2 Sondrio ITA S4
25/01/2026 09:30
Sondrio 0 - 0 Villa dAlme Valbrembana ITA S4
21/01/2026 09:30
Sondrio 0 - 3 Scanzorosciate ITA S4
18/01/2026 09:30
Varesina Calcio 0 - 2 Sondrio ITA S4
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Pavia Pavia
15/02/2026 09:30
Pavia 1 - 0 ASD Brusaporto ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
US Folgore Caratese 2 - 0 Pavia ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
Pavia 2 - 0 Real Calepina FC ITA S4
25/01/2026 09:30
US Breno 2 - 2 Pavia ITA S4
18/01/2026 09:30
Pavia 0 - 0 Oltrepo ITA S4
11/01/2026 09:30
Milan Futuro 0 - 1 Pavia ITA S4
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Sondrio
Sondrio
79
 Pavia
Pavia
40
Goals
Scored
36
Avg. per game
0.46
Conceded
69
Avg. per game
0.87
Scored
19
Avg. per game
0.48
Conceded
32
Avg. per game
0.80
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 79 matches
YesNo
31 (39%)48 (61%)
In last 79 matches
NoYes
14 (35%)26 (65%)
Sondrio

Sondrio

Recent matches

Pavia

Pavia

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)28 12(30%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)16 24(60%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)16 24(60%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)19 21(52%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Sondrio Sondrio
Pavia Pavia
Shots
Sondrio
Sondrio
Total shots
6.54 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Pavia
Pavia
Total shots
6.95 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Sondrio Sondrio Pass Pavia Pavia
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Sondrio
Sondrio
2324
Avg. 29.42 / game
 Pavia
Pavia
1448
Avg. 36.20 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Sondrio
Sondrio
1287
Avg. 16.29 / game
 Pavia
Pavia
823
Avg. 20.58 / game
OTHERS
Sondrio
Sondrio
79
Played games
Pavia
Pavia
40
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.27
21
Clean sheets
15
0.38
1.33
105
Corners
65
1.63
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.29
23
Offsides
20
0.50
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Sondrio
Sondrio
DISCIPLINARY
Pavia
Pavia
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.61
48
Yellow card
38
0.95
0.03
2
Red card
2
0.05
1.35
107
Fouls
86
2.15
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Sondrio vs Pavia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sondrio vs Pavia on 22 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sondrio vs Pavia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sondrio's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pavia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Sondrio and Pavia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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