SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

SC Freiburg

W W L D L

7th place in German Bundesliga

1-1

28/09/2025 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim

D W W D W

5th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim preview before placing your bet.

SC Freiburg are currently 7th with 47 points after 34 matches.
TSG Hoffenheim sit 5th with 61 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: SC Freiburg to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors SC Freiburg, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. TSG Hoffenheim have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2025-09-28

SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim - Prediction & Odds

SC Freiburg

TSG Hoffenheim

2025-09-28 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

19/04/2025 09:30

SC Freiburg

3 - 2

TSG Hoffenheim

GER D1

08/12/2024 12:30

TSG Hoffenheim

1 - 1

SC Freiburg

GER D1

20/01/2024 10:30

SC Freiburg

3 - 2

TSG Hoffenheim

GER D1

19/08/2023 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim

1 - 2

SC Freiburg

GER D1

12/03/2023 10:30

SC Freiburg

2 - 1

TSG Hoffenheim

GER D1

18/09/2022 13:30

TSG Hoffenheim

0 - 0

SC Freiburg

GER D1

SC Freiburg

67%

Draw

33%

TSG Hoffenheim

SC Freiburg Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 09:30

Werder Bremen 0 - 3 SC Freiburg GER D1

13/09/2025 09:30

SC Freiburg 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart GER D1

31/08/2025 13:30

FC Koln 4 - 1 SC Freiburg GER D1

23/08/2025 09:30

SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Augsburg GER D1

16/08/2025 12:00

Sportfreunde Lotte 0 - 2 SC Freiburg GERC

09/08/2025 09:30

SC Freiburg 2 - 2 Osasuna INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches TSG Hoffenheim

20/09/2025 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 4 Bayern Munchen GER D1

13/09/2025 09:30

Union Berlin 2 - 4 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

30/08/2025 09:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

23/08/2025 09:30

Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 2 TSG Hoffenheim GER D1

16/08/2025 09:30

Hansa Rostock 0 - 4 TSG Hoffenheim GERC

09/08/2025 10:30

TSG Hoffenheim 8 - 0 Metz INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

262

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

232

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

276

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 298 matches

YesNo

178 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 298 matches

NoYes

166 (60%)109 (40%)

SC Freiburg

Recent matches

TSG Hoffenheim

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

SC Freiburg

TSG Hoffenheim

Shots

SC Freiburg

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

761 total

Avg. 3.21

TSG Hoffenheim

Total shots

13.40 avg / game

Blocked

741 total

Avg. 3.51

SC Freiburg Pass TSG Hoffenheim

Total passes

109777

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

106937

Avg. 467 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

SC Freiburg

298

Played games

TSG Hoffenheim

275

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.19

3.90

1162

Corners

1325

4.82

15.09

4498

Throw-ins

4752

17.28

1.41

420

Offsides

459

1.67

2.69

802

GK saves

743

2.70

SC Freiburg

DISCIPLINARY

TSG Hoffenheim

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

426

501

1.82

0.04

0.07

9.48

2825

Fouls

2923

10.63

11.51

3431

Tackles

3333

12.12

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess SC Freiburg's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against TSG Hoffenheim's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where SC Freiburg and TSG Hoffenheim sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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