Sarnese vs Paganese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

Sarnese

D W L D L

No standing data

1-1

22/02/2026 10:00

Paganese

W W L W W

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sarnese vs Paganese on 22 February 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sarnese vs Paganese preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Paganese, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Sarnese have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-02-22

Sarnese vs Paganese - Prediction & Odds

Sarnese

Paganese

2026-02-22 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Sarnese and Paganese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

19/10/2025 09:00

Paganese

2 - 1

Sarnese

ITA S4

13/04/2025 09:00

Sarnese

1 - 0

Paganese

ITA S4

01/12/2024 09:30

Paganese

1 - 0

Sarnese

ITA S4

Sarnese

33%

Draw

Paganese

67%

Sarnese Last 6 matches

15/02/2026 10:00

Real Agro Aversa 2 - 2 Sarnese ITA S4

08/02/2026 10:00

Sarnese 1 - 0 Ferrandina ITA S4

01/02/2026 10:00

ASD Martina Franca 3 - 0 Sarnese ITA S4

25/01/2026 09:30

Sarnese 1 - 1 Manfredonia ITA S4

18/01/2026 10:00

Barletta 3 - 2 Sarnese ITA S4

11/01/2026 09:30

Sarnese 1 - 2 Afragolese 1944 ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Paganese

15/02/2026 11:00

Paganese 1 - 0 Pompei ITA S4

08/02/2026 10:00

Virtus Francavilla 0 - 2 Paganese ITA S4

01/02/2026 10:30

Paganese 1 - 3 FC Francavilla ITA S4

25/01/2026 10:30

Real Acerrana 0 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

18/01/2026 11:00

Paganese 1 - 0 A.S Andria Bat ITA S4

11/01/2026 10:00

Heraclea 1 - 2 Paganese ITA S4

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Sarnese

Paganese

224

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 74 matches

YesNo

43 (58%)31 (42%)

In last 74 matches

NoYes

101 (45%)123 (55%)

Sarnese

Recent matches

Paganese

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sarnese

Paganese

Shots

Sarnese

Total shots

11.70 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sarnese Pass Paganese

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sarnese

Played games

Paganese

224

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.34

2.14

158

Corners

649

2.90

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.39

Offsides

0.12

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Sarnese

DISCIPLINARY

Paganese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.00

395

1.76

0.11

0.10

2.09

155

Fouls

0.44

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Sarnese vs Paganese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sarnese vs Paganese on 22 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sarnese vs Paganese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sarnese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paganese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Sarnese and Paganese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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