Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Sao Caetano

W D L D W

No standing data

2-1

04/03/2026 14:00

Comercial SP

L W L L L

No standing data

Brazil Paulista Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Sao Caetano to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Sao Caetano, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Comercial SP have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-03-04

Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP - Prediction & Odds

Sao Caetano

Comercial SP

2026-03-04 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Sao Caetano and Comercial SP in the Brazil Paulista Serie B football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

18/02/2023 14:00

Sao Caetano

1 - 2

Comercial SP

BRA SPB

14/03/2015 15:00

Comercial SP

0 - 1

Sao Caetano

BRA SPB

12/02/2012 17:30

Sao Caetano

2 - 0

Comercial SP

BRA SP

Sao Caetano

67%

Draw

Comercial SP

33%

Sao Caetano Last 6 matches

28/02/2026 14:30

Atletico Aracatuba 1 - 3 Sao Caetano BRP PS D2

25/02/2026 14:00

Sao Caetano 0 - 0 ECUS BRP PS D2

21/02/2026 14:00

Sao Caetano 0 - 2 Penapolense BRP PS D2

14/02/2026 14:00

Jacarei Futebol Clube 0 - 0 Sao Caetano BRP PS D2

11/02/2026 14:00

Sao Caetano 3 - 0 Nacional SP BRP PS D2

07/02/2026 14:00

Sao Caetano 2 - 0 Jabaquara SP BRP PS D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Comercial SP

28/02/2026 14:00

Comercial SP 0 - 1 Lemense SP BRP PS D2

25/02/2026 14:00

Colorado Caieiras FC 1 - 2 Comercial SP BRP PS D2

21/02/2026 14:00

Comercial SP 1 - 2 Barretos SP BRP PS D2

14/02/2026 15:00

Gremio Saocarlense/SP 1 - 0 Comercial SP BRP PS D2

11/02/2026 19:00

Comercial SP 0 - 1 CA Taquaritinga SP BRP PS D2

03/02/2026 19:00

Comercial SP 1 - 2 Penapolense BRP PS D2

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Paulista Serie...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

107

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

100

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

108

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 159 matches

YesNo

64 (40%)95 (60%)

In last 159 matches

NoYes

71 (41%)101 (59%)

Sao Caetano

Recent matches

Comercial SP

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sao Caetano

Comercial SP

Shots

Sao Caetano

Total shots

9.26 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Comercial SP

Total shots

10.56 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sao Caetano Pass Comercial SP

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sao Caetano

159

Played games

Comercial SP

172

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.31

3.79

602

Corners

806

4.69

0.36

Throw-ins

0.23

0.12

Offsides

0.08

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Sao Caetano

DISCIPLINARY

Comercial SP

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.91

304

376

2.19

0.13

0.13

0.88

140

Fouls

105

0.61

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Esporte Clube Sao Jose SP

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Paulista Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sao Caetano vs Comercial SP Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sao Caetano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Comercial SP's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Paulista Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Paulista Serie B standings and the Brazil Paulista Serie B form table to understand exactly where Sao Caetano and Comercial SP sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Paulista Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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